Upbound Group Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 33.49 36.12 38.75 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 30.59 33.22 35.85 Details

9 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 36.06 39.63 43.99 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.94 0.95 0.97 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Upbound. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Upbound's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Upbound's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Upbound Group.

Upbound After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Upbound Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Upbound Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.12	2.63	0.06	0.07	8 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
34.59	34.33	0.17	515.69   Notes

Upbound Hype Timeline

Upbound Group is at this time traded for 34.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Upbound is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Upbound is about 454.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.66. About 85.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Upbound was at this time reported as 11.19. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of October 2024. Upbound Group had 5:2 split on the 2nd of September 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Upbound Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Upbound Related Hype Analysis

Upbound Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Upbound price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Upbound using various technical indicators. When you analyze Upbound charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Upbound stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Upbound Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Upbound based on analysis of Upbound hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Upbound depends on current market conditions and Upbound's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Upbound is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Upbound's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Upbound's future price predictability will typically decrease when Upbound's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Upbound Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Upbound's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upbound's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Upbound's price analysis, check to measure Upbound's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Upbound is operating at the current time. Most of Upbound's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Upbound's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Upbound's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Upbound to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.