Telenor Asa Stock Price Prediction

TELNF Stock  USD 10.81  0.49  4.34%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Telenor ASA's share price is below 30 as of 24th of December 2024. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Telenor ASA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

22

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telenor ASA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Telenor ASA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Telenor ASA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telenor ASA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Telenor ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telenor ASA from the perspective of Telenor ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telenor ASA to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telenor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Telenor ASA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Telenor ASA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6011.2812.96
Details

Telenor ASA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Telenor ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telenor ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Telenor ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Telenor ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Telenor ASA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telenor ASA's historical news coverage. Telenor ASA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.13 and 12.49, respectively. We have considered Telenor ASA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.81
10.81
After-hype Price
12.49
Upside
Telenor ASA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telenor ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Telenor ASA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telenor ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telenor ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telenor ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.68
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.81
10.81
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Telenor ASA Hype Timeline

Telenor ASA is at this time traded for 10.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Telenor is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Telenor ASA is about 2301.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.79. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. Telenor ASA last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Telenor ASA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Telenor ASA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Telenor ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telenor ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Telenor ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telenor ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LBRDALiberty Broadband Srs 0.66 8 per month 2.09  0.1  4.70 (3.67) 37.83 
ATNIATN International(0.97)7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.95 (4.87) 31.68 
SHENShenandoah Telecommunications Co(0.22)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.18 (3.94) 25.16 
KTKT Corporation(0.34)7 per month 1.87  0.03  4.23 (2.66) 11.99 
ATEXAnterix 0.28 11 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.49 (4.97) 13.20 
LBTYKLiberty Global PLC 0.20 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.64 (2.74) 50.60 
LILALiberty Latin America(0.42)10 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.00 (5.35) 26.76 
LILAKLiberty Latin America(0.58)4 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.64 (5.26) 26.66 
LBTYBLiberty Global PLC 0.70 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.10 (9.29) 47.48 
TEFTelefonica SA ADR(0.04)8 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.86 (1.90) 5.95 

Telenor ASA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telenor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telenor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telenor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Telenor ASA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Telenor ASA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telenor ASA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telenor ASA based on analysis of Telenor ASA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telenor ASA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telenor ASA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Telenor ASA

The number of cover stories for Telenor ASA depends on current market conditions and Telenor ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telenor ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telenor ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Telenor ASA Short Properties

Telenor ASA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telenor ASA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telenor ASA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telenor ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telenor ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

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When running Telenor ASA's price analysis, check to measure Telenor ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Telenor ASA is operating at the current time. Most of Telenor ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Telenor ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Telenor ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Telenor ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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