Liberty Global Plc Stock Price Prediction
| LBTYK Stock | USD 12.41 0.04 0.32% |
Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Wall Street Target Price 28 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
Using Liberty Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Global PLC from the perspective of Liberty Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liberty Global using Liberty Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liberty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liberty Global's stock price.
Liberty Global Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
Liberty Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liberty Global PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liberty Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liberty Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liberty Global's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Liberty Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Liberty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Liberty Global after-hype prediction price | USD 12.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Liberty contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Liberty Global PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0769% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Liberty Global trading at USD 12.41, that is roughly USD 0.00954 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Liberty Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Liberty Global PLC options at the current volatility level of 1.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Liberty |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liberty Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liberty Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liberty Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liberty Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Global's historical news coverage. Liberty Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.02 and 13.80, respectively. We have considered Liberty Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liberty Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Global PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liberty Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liberty Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.39 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.41 | 12.41 | 0.00 |
|
Liberty Global Hype Timeline
Liberty Global PLC is now traded for 12.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Liberty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Global is about 66.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.54. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Liberty Global PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 4th of March 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Liberty Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Liberty Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LILA | Liberty Latin America | (0.09) | 9 per month | 2.38 | 0.03 | 4.10 | (3.99) | 12.09 | |
| LILAK | Liberty Latin America | 0.11 | 7 per month | 2.41 | 0.05 | 4.29 | (4.09) | 12.02 | |
| LBTYB | Liberty Global PLC | 2.70 | 8 per month | 9.97 | 0.05 | 27.06 | (16.83) | 59.93 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.47 | 10 per month | 1.98 | 0.05 | 2.78 | (3.12) | 9.58 | |
| LBTYA | Liberty Global PLC | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.57 | (2.24) | 7.78 | |
| SNGNF | Singapore Telecommunications Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 5.99 | (4.41) | 16.99 | |
| PTNRY | Partner Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KT | KT Corporation | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.20 | 2.04 | (1.56) | 6.92 | |
| SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.06 | 0.04 | 3.57 | (4.38) | 16.61 | |
| CABO | Cable One | 17.91 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.12 | (6.18) | 22.18 |
Liberty Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Liberty Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Liberty Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Liberty Global PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Liberty Global based on analysis of Liberty Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Liberty Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Liberty Global's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0926 | 0.08 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 1.04 |
Story Coverage note for Liberty Global
The number of cover stories for Liberty Global depends on current market conditions and Liberty Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Liberty Global Short Properties
Liberty Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Liberty Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Liberty Global PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Liberty Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 363.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Check out Liberty Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Global. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Earnings Share 4.82 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Liberty Global PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.