Third Coast Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

TCBX Stock  USD 35.50  0.09  0.25%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Third Coast's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Third, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Third Coast's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Third Coast Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Third Coast's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.323
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.53
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6774
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.6233
Wall Street Target Price
33.25
Using Third Coast hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Third Coast Bancshares from the perspective of Third Coast response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Third Coast to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Third because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Third Coast after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Third Coast Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.0831.1339.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.6435.6937.74
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.9323.0025.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.670.680.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Third Coast. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Third Coast's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Third Coast's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Third Coast Bancshares.

Third Coast After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Third Coast at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Third Coast or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Third Coast, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Third Coast Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Third Coast's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Third Coast's historical news coverage. Third Coast's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.30 and 38.40, respectively. We have considered Third Coast's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.50
36.35
After-hype Price
38.40
Upside
Third Coast is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Third Coast Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Third Coast Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Third Coast is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Third Coast backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Third Coast, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
2.05
  0.85 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.50
36.35
2.39 
128.13  
Notes

Third Coast Hype Timeline

Third Coast Bancshares is at this time traded for 35.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Third is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 128.13%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Third Coast is about 1952.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.56. Third Coast Bancshares currently holds 141.71 M in liabilities. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Third Coast Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Third Coast Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Third Coast's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Third Coast's future price movements. Getting to know how Third Coast's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Third Coast may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BYByline Bancorp 0.79 8 per month 1.35  0.04  3.40 (2.51) 20.72 
CCBCoastal Financial Corp 0.06 11 per month 1.42  0.19  4.46 (2.69) 14.24 
NBTBNBT Bancorp(0.89)8 per month 1.62 (0.03) 2.51 (2.22) 17.43 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.16 7 per month 1.12 (0.0005) 2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FVCBFVCBankcorp 0.06 8 per month 2.22  0.06  4.78 (3.23) 13.88 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
CFBKCF Bankshares 3.13 7 per month 1.76  0.14  6.00 (2.78) 12.35 
ISTRInvestar Holding Corp(0.37)9 per month 1.17  0.12  3.41 (2.50) 17.09 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
VBFCVillage Bank and 0.50 4 per month 0.00  0.13  1.03 (0.52) 44.03 
PMHGPrime Meridian Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.90  0.10  3.13 (1.04) 10.77 
WMPNWilliam Penn Bancorp 0.04 6 per month 0.79  0.03  2.23 (1.43) 6.97 
PBHCPathfinder Bancorp(0.27)6 per month 1.89  0.02  3.59 (3.34) 22.14 
EFBIEagle Financial Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.86 (3.69) 10.93 
EFSCPEnterprise Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.97 (0.04) 1.85 (1.48) 6.02 
TCBCTC Bancshares(0.20)7 per month 1.02 (0.12) 2.10 (1.99) 5.24 
PBFSPioneer Bancorp(0.11)5 per month 0.69 (0.03) 1.80 (1.17) 4.39 
WAYNWayne Savings Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.99  0.04  3.00 (2.33) 8.19 
MGYRMagyar Bancorp 0.01 8 per month 0.43  0.1  1.90 (1.22) 3.88 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 1.36 (0.01) 3.69 (3.23) 8.64 
FRAFFranklin Financial Services(0.12)10 per month 1.06  0.03  1.52 (1.16) 9.44 
BSBKBogota Financial Corp 0.04 5 per month 2.03  0.02  3.97 (3.37) 13.89 

Third Coast Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Third price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Third using various technical indicators. When you analyze Third charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Third Coast Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Third Coast stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Third Coast Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Third Coast based on analysis of Third Coast hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Third Coast's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Third Coast's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01750.0184
Price To Sales Ratio1.911.81

Story Coverage note for Third Coast

The number of cover stories for Third Coast depends on current market conditions and Third Coast's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Third Coast is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Third Coast's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Third Coast Short Properties

Third Coast's future price predictability will typically decrease when Third Coast's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Third Coast Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Third Coast's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Third Coast's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments411.8 M

Additional Tools for Third Stock Analysis

When running Third Coast's price analysis, check to measure Third Coast's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Third Coast is operating at the current time. Most of Third Coast's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Third Coast's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Third Coast's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Third Coast to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.