Staar Surgical Stock Price Prediction
| STAA Stock | USD 17.69 0.60 3.51% |
Momentum 21
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.018 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1138 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.89) | Wall Street Target Price 18.6667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using STAAR Surgical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STAAR Surgical from the perspective of STAAR Surgical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards STAAR Surgical using STAAR Surgical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards STAAR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of STAAR Surgical's stock price.
STAAR Surgical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in STAAR Surgical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards STAAR. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of STAAR Surgical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 32.4762 | Short Percent 0.1595 | Short Ratio 5.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 22.437 |
STAAR Surgical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to STAAR Surgical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in STAAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding STAAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around STAAR Surgical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of STAAR Surgical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about STAAR Surgical.
STAAR Surgical Implied Volatility | 1.13 |
STAAR Surgical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of STAAR Surgical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if STAAR Surgical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that STAAR Surgical stock will not fluctuate a lot when STAAR Surgical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in STAAR Surgical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying STAAR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
STAAR Surgical after-hype prediction price | USD 17.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current STAAR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that STAAR Surgical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With STAAR Surgical trading at USD 17.69, that is roughly USD 0.0125 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating STAAR Surgical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring STAAR Surgical options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
STAAR |
STAAR Surgical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STAAR Surgical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STAAR Surgical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STAAR Surgical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STAAR Surgical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STAAR Surgical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STAAR Surgical's historical news coverage. STAAR Surgical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.74 and 21.62, respectively. We have considered STAAR Surgical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STAAR Surgical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STAAR Surgical is based on 3 months time horizon.
STAAR Surgical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STAAR Surgical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STAAR Surgical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STAAR Surgical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 4.42 | 0.27 | 2.45 | 8 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.69 | 17.18 | 1.60 |
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STAAR Surgical Hype Timeline
STAAR Surgical is at this time traded for 17.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.45. STAAR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.74%. The volatility of related hype on STAAR Surgical is about 133.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.24. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of STAAR Surgical was at this time reported as 8.06. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 460.83. STAAR Surgical recorded a loss per share of 0.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:2 split on the 18th of May 1992. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out STAAR Surgical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.STAAR Surgical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STAAR Surgical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STAAR Surgical's future price movements. Getting to know how STAAR Surgical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STAAR Surgical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RMD | ResMed Inc | (4.92) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 2.37 | (2.62) | 11.67 | |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services | (44.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.56 | (2.68) | 42.43 | |
| ICUI | ICU Medical | (0.75) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.10 | (3.61) | 7.92 | |
| MMSI | Merit Medical Systems | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.03 | (2.21) | 7.16 | |
| MBOT | Microbot Medical | 0.24 | 8 per month | 6.83 | 0.11 | 16.23 | (9.41) | 121.64 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.03 | 1.72 | (1.36) | 10.06 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies, | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.83 | (2.38) | 8.19 | |
| HOLX | Hologic | (0.68) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.70 | (1.94) | 12.53 | |
| RGEN | Repligen | 6.90 | 9 per month | 1.97 | 0.15 | 4.79 | (3.59) | 14.93 | |
| HAE | Haemonetics | 1.35 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.40 | (4.20) | 15.77 | |
| NVST | Envista Holdings Corp | (0.68) | 9 per month | 2.35 | 0.01 | 3.63 | (4.09) | 11.51 | |
| ANGO | AngioDynamics | (0.05) | 9 per month | 2.39 | 0.12 | 4.31 | (3.94) | 46.09 | |
| ATR | AptarGroup | 0.73 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.41 | (1.87) | 10.88 |
STAAR Surgical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STAAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STAAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze STAAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About STAAR Surgical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of STAAR Surgical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as STAAR Surgical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of STAAR Surgical based on analysis of STAAR Surgical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to STAAR Surgical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to STAAR Surgical's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2022 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 78.67 | 68.94 | 92.16 | 51.86 | PTB Ratio | 18.32 | 16.67 | 2.99 | 26.04 |
Story Coverage note for STAAR Surgical
The number of cover stories for STAAR Surgical depends on current market conditions and STAAR Surgical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STAAR Surgical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STAAR Surgical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STAAR Surgical Short Properties
STAAR Surgical's future price predictability will typically decrease when STAAR Surgical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STAAR Surgical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STAAR Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STAAR Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.5 M |
Complementary Tools for STAAR Stock analysis
When running STAAR Surgical's price analysis, check to measure STAAR Surgical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STAAR Surgical is operating at the current time. Most of STAAR Surgical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STAAR Surgical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STAAR Surgical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STAAR Surgical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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