Sasol Stock Price Prediction
| SSL Stock | USD 5.04 0.21 4.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.45 | Wall Street Target Price 10.89 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Sasol hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sasol from the perspective of Sasol response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sasol to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sasol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sasol after-hype prediction price | USD 5.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sasol |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sasol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sasol After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sasol at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sasol or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sasol, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sasol Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sasol's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sasol's historical news coverage. Sasol's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.28 and 8.16, respectively. We have considered Sasol's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sasol is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sasol is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sasol Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sasol is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sasol backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sasol, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.94 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.04 | 5.22 | 0.57 |
|
Sasol Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of December Sasol is traded for 5.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Sasol is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Sasol is about 2973.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.42. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sasol has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.14. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.86. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Sasol had 1:5 split on the 9th of May 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Sasol Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sasol Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sasol's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sasol's future price movements. Getting to know how Sasol's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sasol may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OLN | Olin Corporation | (0.04) | 11 per month | 2.18 | (0.04) | 3.34 | (3.41) | 14.96 | |
| CBT | Cabot | (1.01) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.19) | 10.87 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.51 | (3.88) | 13.07 | |
| LYB | LyondellBasell Industries NV | 0.27 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.40 | (2.28) | 5.41 | |
| APD | Air Products and | 2.02 | 10 per month | 0.55 | 0.12 | 1.90 | (1.38) | 10.91 | |
| PPG | PPG Industries | (1.31) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.37 | (1.94) | 8.06 | |
| LIN | Linde plc Ordinary | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.34 | (1.29) | 5.01 | |
| ECL | Ecolab Inc | 1.70 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.43 | (1.11) | 4.42 | |
| SHW | Sherwin Williams Co | (2.34) | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.02 | 2.43 | (1.52) | 7.77 |
Sasol Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sasol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sasol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sasol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sasol Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sasol stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sasol, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sasol based on analysis of Sasol hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sasol's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sasol's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.06E-4 | 0.0873 | 0.0785 | 0.0825 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.87 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.3 |
Story Coverage note for Sasol
The number of cover stories for Sasol depends on current market conditions and Sasol's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sasol is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sasol's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Sasol Short Properties
Sasol's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sasol's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sasol often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sasol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sasol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 635.4 M |
Check out Sasol Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Sasol Stock please use our How to buy in Sasol Stock guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Diversified Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sasol. If investors know Sasol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sasol listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share (3.86) | Revenue Per Share 434.615 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Sasol is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sasol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sasol's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sasol's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sasol's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sasol's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sasol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sasol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sasol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.