Seritage Growth Properties Stock Price Prediction
| SRG Stock | USD 3.65 0.15 3.95% |
Momentum 23
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Wall Street Target Price 8.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.44) |
Using Seritage Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seritage Growth Properties from the perspective of Seritage Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seritage Growth using Seritage Growth's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seritage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seritage Growth's stock price.
Seritage Growth Implied Volatility | 1.24 |
Seritage Growth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seritage Growth Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seritage Growth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seritage Growth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seritage Growth's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Seritage Growth to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Seritage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Seritage Growth after-hype prediction price | USD 3.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seritage contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seritage Growth Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0775% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Seritage Growth trading at USD 3.65, that is roughly USD 0.002829 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seritage Growth's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seritage Growth Properties options at the current volatility level of 1.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Seritage |
Seritage Growth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seritage Growth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seritage Growth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seritage Growth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seritage Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seritage Growth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seritage Growth's historical news coverage. Seritage Growth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.87 and 5.47, respectively. We have considered Seritage Growth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seritage Growth is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seritage Growth Prop is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seritage Growth Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seritage Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seritage Growth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seritage Growth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.80 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.65 | 3.67 | 0.55 |
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Seritage Growth Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February Seritage Growth Prop is traded for 3.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Seritage is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Seritage Growth is about 5510.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.58 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (154.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 30.38 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Seritage Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Seritage Growth Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seritage Growth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seritage Growth's future price movements. Getting to know how Seritage Growth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seritage Growth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Seritage Growth Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seritage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seritage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seritage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Seritage Growth Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Seritage Growth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seritage Growth Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seritage Growth based on analysis of Seritage Growth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Seritage Growth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Seritage Growth's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008329 | 0.009327 | 0.0107 | 0.0193 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.5 | 25.53 | 22.98 | 24.13 |
Story Coverage note for Seritage Growth
The number of cover stories for Seritage Growth depends on current market conditions and Seritage Growth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seritage Growth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seritage Growth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Seritage Growth Short Properties
Seritage Growth's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seritage Growth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seritage Growth Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seritage Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seritage Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134 M |
Complementary Tools for Seritage Stock analysis
When running Seritage Growth's price analysis, check to measure Seritage Growth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seritage Growth is operating at the current time. Most of Seritage Growth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seritage Growth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seritage Growth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seritage Growth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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