Getty Realty Stock Price Prediction
| GTY Stock | USD 32.88 0.43 1.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.31 | Wall Street Target Price 33.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.3 |
Using Getty Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Getty Realty from the perspective of Getty Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Getty Realty using Getty Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Getty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Getty Realty's stock price.
Getty Realty Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Getty Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Getty Realty stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Getty Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Getty Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Getty Realty's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Getty Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Getty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Getty Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 32.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Getty Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Getty Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Getty Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Getty Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Getty Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Getty Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Getty Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Getty Realty's historical news coverage. Getty Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.93 and 33.75, respectively. We have considered Getty Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Getty Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Getty Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Getty Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Getty Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Getty Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Getty Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.91 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.88 | 32.84 | 0.12 |
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Getty Realty Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Getty Realty is traded for 32.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Getty is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 168.52%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Getty Realty is about 196.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.84. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Getty Realty last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2024. The entity had 10000:7561 split on the 1st of April 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Getty Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Getty Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Getty Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Getty Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Getty Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Getty Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment | (1.07) | 9 per month | 0.88 | (0.10) | 1.44 | (1.36) | 4.75 | |
| NNN | National Retail Properties | (0.35) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.54 | (2.03) | 6.53 | |
| KIM | Kimco Realty | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.03 | 1.64 | (1.67) | 4.88 |
Getty Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Getty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Getty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Getty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Getty Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Getty Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Getty Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Getty Realty based on analysis of Getty Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Getty Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Getty Realty's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0492 | 0.0495 | 0.048 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.25 | 9.55 | 8.26 |
Story Coverage note for Getty Realty
The number of cover stories for Getty Realty depends on current market conditions and Getty Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Getty Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Getty Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Getty Realty Short Properties
Getty Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Getty Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Getty Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Getty Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Getty Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Additional Tools for Getty Stock Analysis
When running Getty Realty's price analysis, check to measure Getty Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Getty Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Getty Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Getty Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Getty Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Getty Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.