Spirit Aerosystems Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| SPR Stock | USD 32.53 0.18 0.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year (11.88) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.83) | Wall Street Target Price 36.8846 |
Using Spirit Aerosystems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spirit Aerosystems Holdings from the perspective of Spirit Aerosystems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spirit Aerosystems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spirit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spirit Aerosystems after-hype prediction price | USD 32.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spirit |
Spirit Aerosystems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spirit Aerosystems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spirit Aerosystems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spirit Aerosystems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Spirit Aerosystems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spirit Aerosystems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spirit Aerosystems' historical news coverage. Spirit Aerosystems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.76 and 34.30, respectively. We have considered Spirit Aerosystems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spirit Aerosystems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spirit Aerosystems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spirit Aerosystems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spirit Aerosystems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spirit Aerosystems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spirit Aerosystems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 15 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.53 | 32.53 | 0.00 |
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Spirit Aerosystems Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Spirit Aerosystems is traded for 32.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Spirit is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spirit Aerosystems is about 621.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.50. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3. Spirit Aerosystems recorded a loss per share of 12.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2022. The firm had 1:100 split on the 20th of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Spirit Aerosystems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spirit Aerosystems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spirit Aerosystems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spirit Aerosystems' future price movements. Getting to know how Spirit Aerosystems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spirit Aerosystems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Spirit Aerosystems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spirit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spirit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spirit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Spirit Aerosystems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spirit Aerosystems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spirit Aerosystems Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spirit Aerosystems based on analysis of Spirit Aerosystems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spirit Aerosystems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spirit Aerosystems's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.58E-4 | 0.001357 | 0.00156 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.14 | 0.62 | 0.56 |
Story Coverage note for Spirit Aerosystems
The number of cover stories for Spirit Aerosystems depends on current market conditions and Spirit Aerosystems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spirit Aerosystems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spirit Aerosystems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spirit Aerosystems Short Properties
Spirit Aerosystems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Spirit Aerosystems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spirit Aerosystems Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spirit Aerosystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spirit Aerosystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 823.5 M |
Additional Tools for Spirit Stock Analysis
When running Spirit Aerosystems' price analysis, check to measure Spirit Aerosystems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirit Aerosystems is operating at the current time. Most of Spirit Aerosystems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirit Aerosystems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirit Aerosystems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirit Aerosystems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.