Surge Energy Stock Price Prediction
| SGY Stock | CAD 5.70 0.01 0.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.062 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.24 | Wall Street Target Price 11.05 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
Using Surge Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Surge Energy from the perspective of Surge Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Surge Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Surge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Surge Energy after-hype prediction price | CAD 5.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Surge |
Surge Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Surge Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Surge Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Surge Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Surge Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Surge Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Surge Energy's historical news coverage. Surge Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.87 and 7.53, respectively. We have considered Surge Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Surge Energy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Surge Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Surge Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Surge Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Surge Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Surge Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.70 | 5.70 | 0.00 |
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Surge Energy Hype Timeline
Surge Energy is at this time traded for 5.70on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Surge is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Surge Energy is about 30500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.70. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Surge Energy last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 117:100 split on the 20th of August 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Surge Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Surge Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Surge Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Surge Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Surge Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Surge Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WCP | Whitecap Resources | 0.03 | 1 per month | 1.87 | (0.08) | 2.29 | (2.96) | 7.57 | |
| CJ | Cardinal Energy | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.44 | (2.20) | 4.50 | |
| ATH | Athabasca Oil Corp | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.13 | (3.63) | 7.82 | |
| TVE | Tamarack Valley Energy | 0.04 | 2 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 3.16 | (3.54) | 10.36 | |
| BIR | Birchcliff Energy | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.04 | (3.70) | 9.34 |
Surge Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Surge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Surge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Surge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Surge Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Surge Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Surge Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Surge Energy based on analysis of Surge Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Surge Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Surge Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0232 | 0.0731 | 0.0816 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.58 | 1.15 | 1.09 |
Story Coverage note for Surge Energy
The number of cover stories for Surge Energy depends on current market conditions and Surge Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Surge Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Surge Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Surge Energy Short Properties
Surge Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Surge Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Surge Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Surge Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Surge Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101 M |
Other Information on Investing in Surge Stock
Surge Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Surge Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Surge with respect to the benefits of owning Surge Energy security.