Red Cat Holdings Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.31 6.21 14.71 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 2.71 11.21 19.71 Details

2 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 4.55 5.00 5.55 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.09 -0.08 -0.09 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Red Cat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Red Cat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Red Cat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Red Cat Holdings.

Red Cat After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Red Cat Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Red Cat Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
2.09	8.56	0.84	0.23	10 Events / Month	9 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
9.27	8.45	8.85	2,140   Notes

Red Cat Hype Timeline

Red Cat Holdings is at this time traded for 9.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.84, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Red is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -8.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.09%. The volatility of related hype on Red Cat is about 7884.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.50. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.42. Red Cat Holdings last dividend was issued on the 1st of August 2019. The entity had 1:1200 split on the 1st of August 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Red Cat Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Red Cat Related Hype Analysis

Red Cat Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Red Cat stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Red Cat Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Red Cat based on analysis of Red Cat hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Red Cat depends on current market conditions and Red Cat's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red Cat is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red Cat's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Red Cat's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red Cat's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red Cat Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red Cat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Cat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.