Red Cat Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RCAT Stock  USD 5.66  0.74  15.04%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Red Cat Holdings is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Red Cat Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Red Cat Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Red Cat Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Red and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Red Cat Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Red Cat Buy or Sell Advice

The Red recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Red Cat Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Red Cat Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Red Cat's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Red CatBuy Red Cat
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Red Cat Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of 0.1071, Total Risk Alpha of 0.9233 and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Red Cat Holdings. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Red Cat is not overpriced, please check all Red Cat Holdings fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, debt to equity, total asset, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Red Cat Holdings has a number of shares shorted of 12.77 M, we recommend you to check out Red Cat Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Red Cat Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Red Cat Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Red Cat Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Red Cat Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 M.
Red Cat Holdings currently holds about 42.95 M in cash with (18.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.79.
Red Cat Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Red Cat Holdings Investor News If You Have Suffered Losses in Red Cat Holdings, Inc. , You Are Encouraged to Contact The Rosen Law Firm About Your Rights

Red Cat Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Red Cat's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Red Cat's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Red Cat daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Red Cat Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Red Cat returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Red Cat.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-10.58
Potential Upside
15.04
Standard Deviation
8.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Red Cat historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Red Stock Institutional Investors

The Red Cat's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Red Cat's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Captrust Financial Advisors2024-12-31
331.6 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
264.5 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
228.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
206.8 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
140.2 K
Omers Administration Corp2024-12-31
133.4 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
126.3 K
The Informed Momentum Company (formerly Eam Investors)2024-12-31
119.2 K
Integrated Wealth Concepts Llc2024-12-31
117.6 K
Waddell & Associates, Llc2024-12-31
12.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.5 M
Note, although Red Cat's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Red Cat Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(266.8K)40.7K3.8M(824.5K)2.8M(525.8K)
Free Cash Flow(1.4M)(16.4M)(31.6M)(18.9M)(17.0M)(16.1M)
Net Income(1.6M)(13.2M)(11.7M)(27.1M)(21.5M)(2.8M)
End Period Cash Flow236.7K277.3K4.1M3.3M6.1M647.0K
Other Non Cash Items1.1M(289.1K)38.6K2.6M3.0M3.1M
Change To Inventory(60.0K)(2.2M)(8.1M)913.3K822.0K863.1K
Investments46.3K(48.4K)(57.6M)29.6M13.6M(892.3K)
Change To Netincome473.9K10.5M250.4K38.6K44.4K42.2K

Red Cat Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Red Cat or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Red Cat's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Red stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.71
σ
Overall volatility
8.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.009

Red Cat Volatility Alert

Red Cat Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Red Cat's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Red Cat's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Red Cat Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Red Cat's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Red Cat's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Red Cat and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Red Cat or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Red Cat's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Cat by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Red Cat to competition
FundamentalsRed CatPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.0-0.31
Return On Asset-0.29-0.14
Profit Margin(2.31) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(5.94) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation493.8 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding85.62 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders18.14 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions33.66 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.77 M4.71 M
Price To Book17.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales29.43 X11.42 X
Revenue17.84 M9.43 B
Gross Profit1.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA(20.03 M)3.9 B
Net Income(21.53 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents42.95 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.79 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.27 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio11.24 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(18.6 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio2.06 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.51) X3.12 X
Target Price13.33
Number Of Employees8918.84 K
Beta0.49-0.15
Market Capitalization484.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset48.54 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(81.13 M)9.33 B
Working Capital18.75 M1.48 B
Net Asset48.54 M
Note: Disposition of 100000 shares by Liuzza Nicholas Reyland Jr of Red Cat subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Red Cat Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Red . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Red Cat Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Red Cat Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Red Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis

When running Red Cat's price analysis, check to measure Red Cat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Cat is operating at the current time. Most of Red Cat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Cat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Cat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Cat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.