Park National Stock Price Prediction
| PRK Stock | USD 173.15 2.42 1.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.031 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.93 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.735 | Wall Street Target Price 181 |
Using Park National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park National from the perspective of Park National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park National using Park National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park National's stock price.
Park National Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Park National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park National's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Park National after-hype prediction price | USD 173.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Park contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Park National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2025-01-17 option contract. With Park National trading at USD 173.15, that is roughly USD 0.0465 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Park National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Park National options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Park |
Park National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Park National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Park National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Park National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park National's historical news coverage. Park National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 170.43 and 176.55, respectively. We have considered Park National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Park National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Park National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.06 | 0.34 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
173.15 | 173.49 | 0.20 |
|
Park National Hype Timeline
On the 4th of January Park National is traded for 173.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Park is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 173.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 136.0%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Park National is about 905.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 173.10. The company reported the last year's revenue of 462.84 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 126.73 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 478.44 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Park National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Park National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Park National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park National's future price movements. Getting to know how Park National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | (0.45) | 11 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 2.99 | (2.72) | 20.36 | |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial | (1.49) | 10 per month | 1.69 | 0.05 | 3.84 | (2.92) | 16.50 | |
| NBTB | NBT Bancorp | (0.57) | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.07 | 2.53 | (2.79) | 17.78 | |
| TRMK | Trustmark | 0.75 | 8 per month | 1.55 | 0.08 | 2.86 | (2.67) | 19.01 | |
| ONB | Old National Bancorp | 0.07 | 11 per month | 1.32 | 0.11 | 2.87 | (2.63) | 20.89 |
Park National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Park National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Park National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park National based on analysis of Park National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park National's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0335 | 0.0321 | 0.0289 | 0.0298 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.73 | 4.64 | 5.34 | 5.13 |
Story Coverage note for Park National
The number of cover stories for Park National depends on current market conditions and Park National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Park National Short Properties
Park National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 218.3 M |
Check out Park National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Park Stock please use our How to buy in Park Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park National. If investors know Park will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.031 | Dividend Share 4.23 | Earnings Share 8.59 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.071 |
The market value of Park National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Park National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.