Powell Industries Stock Price Prediction
| POWL Stock | USD 262.35 9.28 3.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.493 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.395 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.78 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.3567 | Wall Street Target Price 215.6 |
Using Powell Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Powell Industries from the perspective of Powell Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Powell Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Powell Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Powell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Powell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Powell Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Powell Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Powell Industries.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Powell Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Powell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Powell Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 263.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Powell |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Powell Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Powell Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Powell Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Powell Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Powell Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Powell Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Powell Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Powell Industries' historical news coverage. Powell Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 258.04 and 268.08, respectively. We have considered Powell Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Powell Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Powell Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Powell Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Powell Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Powell Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Powell Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 5.09 | 0.64 | 0.63 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
262.35 | 263.06 | 0.27 |
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Powell Industries Hype Timeline
Powell Industries is at this time traded for 262.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.63. Powell is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 263.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on Powell Industries is about 678.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 262.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.01 B. Net Income was 149.85 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 85.02 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Powell Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Powell Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Powell Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Powell Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Powell Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Powell Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KE | Kimball Electronics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 1.79 | (0) | 3.85 | (3.18) | 11.84 | |
| HOLI | Hollysys Automation Technologies | (0.62) | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.01 | 2.60 | (3.35) | 19.49 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.38) | 10 per month | 1.33 | 0.01 | 4.10 | (2.23) | 7.98 | |
| NVT | nVent Electric PLC | 0.56 | 11 per month | 2.09 | 0.06 | 3.08 | (2.34) | 13.93 | |
| ENR | Energizer Holdings | 1.27 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.13 | 2.67 | (1.29) | 12.72 | |
| AYI | Acuity Brands | 0.90 | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 2.54 | (2.02) | 11.12 | |
| ESP | Espey Mfg Electronics | (0.15) | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.10 | 4.93 | (3.29) | 26.01 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | (3.12) | 7 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 3.21 | (3.01) | 11.72 | |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.88 | (0) | 3.85 | (2.91) | 8.30 | |
| ENS | Enersys | (2.70) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.21 | (2.35) | 8.90 | |
| HUBB | Hubbell | 12.76 | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.09 | 3.09 | (2.12) | 10.41 | |
| WIRE | Encore Wire | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.53 | 0.02 | 1.78 | (1.25) | 12.89 |
Powell Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Powell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Powell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Powell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Powell Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Powell Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Powell Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Powell Industries based on analysis of Powell Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Powell Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Powell Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0492 | 0.0126 | 0.004757 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.47 | 1.41 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Powell Industries
The number of cover stories for Powell Industries depends on current market conditions and Powell Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Powell Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Powell Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Powell Industries Short Properties
Powell Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Powell Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Powell Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Powell Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Powell Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 358.4 M |
Check out Powell Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Powell Stock please use our How to buy in Powell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Powell Industries. If investors know Powell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Powell Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.493 | Earnings Share 12.29 | Revenue Per Share 79.126 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.498 | Return On Assets 0.1237 |
The market value of Powell Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Powell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Powell Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Powell Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Powell Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Powell Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Powell Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Powell Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Powell Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.