Oxford Lane Capital Stock Price Prediction

OXLCN Stock  USD 24.02  0.07  0.29%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Oxford Lane's share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oxford Lane, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oxford Lane's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oxford Lane Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Oxford Lane's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.345
Using Oxford Lane hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oxford Lane Capital from the perspective of Oxford Lane response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oxford Lane to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oxford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oxford Lane after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Oxford Lane Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oxford Lane's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4123.9924.57
Details

Oxford Lane After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oxford Lane at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oxford Lane or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oxford Lane, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oxford Lane Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oxford Lane's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oxford Lane's historical news coverage. Oxford Lane's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.44 and 24.60, respectively. We have considered Oxford Lane's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.02
24.02
After-hype Price
24.60
Upside
Oxford Lane is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oxford Lane Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oxford Lane Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oxford Lane is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oxford Lane backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oxford Lane, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.58
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.02
24.02
0.00 
1,933  
Notes

Oxford Lane Hype Timeline

Oxford Lane Capital is now traded for 24.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Oxford is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oxford Lane is about 3411.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.02. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Oxford Lane Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Oxford Lane Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oxford Lane's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oxford Lane's future price movements. Getting to know how Oxford Lane's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oxford Lane may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AQUIAquagold International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.03 (1.00) 4.19 
LBHIXThrivent High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.24 (0.24) 0.94 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.03  0.12  2.00 (1.20) 6.28 
RRTLXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.40 (0.56) 1.99 
OSHDFOshidori International Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  0.00  1,329 
70082LAB3US70082LAB36 0.00 0 per month 0.86  0.06  1.75 (0.74) 6.86 
SITKFSitka Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.97  0.07  14.29 (9.09) 30.02 
RWAYLMSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER 0.17 1 per month 0.19 (0.07) 0.36 (0.20) 1.49 
SEGISycamore Entmt Grp 0.00 0 per month 11.16  0.11  28.57 (20.00) 70.63 

Oxford Lane Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oxford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oxford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oxford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oxford Lane Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oxford Lane stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oxford Lane Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oxford Lane based on analysis of Oxford Lane hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oxford Lane's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oxford Lane's related companies.
 2021 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.80.86
Dividend Yield0.110.12

Story Coverage note for Oxford Lane

The number of cover stories for Oxford Lane depends on current market conditions and Oxford Lane's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oxford Lane is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oxford Lane's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Oxford Lane Short Properties

Oxford Lane's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oxford Lane's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oxford Lane Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oxford Lane's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Lane's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding209.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments43 M
When determining whether Oxford Lane Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Oxford Lane's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Oxford Lane Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Oxford Lane Capital Stock:
Check out Oxford Lane Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oxford Lane. If investors know Oxford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oxford Lane listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Dividend Share
0.99
Earnings Share
0.871
Revenue Per Share
1.058
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.345
The market value of Oxford Lane Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Lane's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Lane's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Lane's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Lane's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Lane's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Lane is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Lane's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.