Oxford Lane Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OXLCN Stock | USD 24.02 0.07 0.29% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Oxford Lane Capital is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Oxford Lane's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Oxford Lane Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Oxford and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Oxford Lane Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Oxford |
Execute Oxford Lane Buy or Sell Advice
The Oxford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Oxford Lane Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Oxford Lane Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Oxford Lane's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Oxford Lane Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Oxford Lane Capital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Oxford Lane Capital has accumulated about 34.67 M in cash with (123.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| On 29th of November 2024 Oxford Lane paid $ 0.1484 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Oxford Lane Capital estimates November NAV per share rose 0.4 percent MM |
Oxford Lane Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Oxford Lane's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Oxford Lane's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Oxford Lane daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Oxford Lane Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Oxford Lane returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Oxford Lane.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -1 | Potential Upside | 0.84 | Standard Deviation | 0.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Oxford Lane historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Oxford Lane Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (9.8M) | 79.2M | (56.2M) | (12.9M) | 21.2M | 22.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (271.2M) | (7.9M) | (385.5M) | (91.6M) | (123.8M) | (130.0M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 19.7M | (293.4M) | (507.5M) | 72.9M | (360.6M) | (342.6M) | |
| Net Income | (291.1M) | 289.9M | 125.9M | (171.3M) | 235.1M | 246.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.7M | 90.9M | 34.7M | 21.7M | 43.0M | 32.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 84.0M | 75.1M | 85.6M | 122.5M | 166.6M | 174.9M |
Oxford Lane Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Oxford Lane or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Oxford Lane's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Oxford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0093 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Oxford Lane Volatility Alert
Oxford Lane Capital exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.84 and kurtosis of 2.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Oxford Lane's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Oxford Lane's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Oxford Lane Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Oxford Lane's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Oxford Lane's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Oxford Lane and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Oxford Lane or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Oxford Lane's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oxford Lane by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Oxford Lane to competition |
| Fundamentals | Oxford Lane | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.088 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.52 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.72 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.42 B | 16.62 B |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.33 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Revenue | 290.64 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 199.3 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 267.96 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 235.11 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.67 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.24 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 195.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.24 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (123.79 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.80 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.87 X | 3.12 X |
| Beta | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 234.66 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.75 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (367.99 M) | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.75 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.99 |
Note: Acquisition by Rosenthal Saul B of 4000 shares of Oxford Lane at 15.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Oxford Lane Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Oxford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Oxford Lane Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Oxford Lane Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Oxford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Oxford Lane Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oxford Lane. If investors know Oxford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oxford Lane listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.65) | Dividend Share 0.99 | Earnings Share 0.871 | Revenue Per Share 1.058 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.345 |
The market value of Oxford Lane Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Lane's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Lane's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Lane's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Lane's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Lane's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oxford Lane is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Lane's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.