On Holding Stock Price Prediction
| ONON Stock | USD 58.33 0.43 0.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8014 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.008 | Wall Street Target Price 52.4709 |
Using On Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of On Holding from the perspective of On Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
On Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to On Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ONON. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ONON can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around On Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of On Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about On Holding.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in On Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ONON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
On Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 58.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ONON |
On Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of On Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in On Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of On Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
On Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting On Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on On Holding's historical news coverage. On Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.59 and 61.03, respectively. We have considered On Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
On Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of On Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
On Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as On Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading On Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with On Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.22 | 0.48 | 0.34 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
58.33 | 58.81 | 0.82 |
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On Holding Hype Timeline
On Holding is now traded for 58.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.34. ONON is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 183.47%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.82%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on On Holding is about 264.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.67. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.79 B. Net Income was 74.58 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 684.9 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out On Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.On Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to On Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict On Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how On Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how On Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CROX | Crocs Inc | 2.83 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.27 | (4.25) | 24.38 | |
| SKX | Skechers USA | 0.43 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.29 | (3.41) | 11.05 | |
| NKE | Nike Inc | 1.27 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.37 | (2.31) | 13.61 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | 0.44 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.16 | (7.83) | 24.50 | |
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor | 5.28 | 10 per month | 1.94 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (3.72) | 15.66 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | 0.04 | 12 per month | 1.69 | (0.04) | 2.96 | (2.75) | 8.41 | |
| ADDYY | Adidas AG ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.59 | (2.70) | 12.13 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.64 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.16 | 4.90 | (3.08) | 38.90 | |
| WEYS | Weyco Group | (0.42) | 7 per month | 2.21 | (0.01) | 2.82 | (3.22) | 25.17 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.07 | (4.71) | 30.74 | |
| VRA | Vera Bradley | (0.02) | 9 per month | 2.30 | (0.02) | 4.21 | (3.84) | 12.01 | |
| CAL | Caleres | (0.70) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.17 | (5.21) | 20.00 |
On Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ONON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ONON using various technical indicators. When you analyze ONON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About On Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of On Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as On Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of On Holding based on analysis of On Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to On Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to On Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 50.02 | 52.15 | 41.71 | 57.22 | PTB Ratio | 12.65 | 5.18 | 6.77 | 6.43 |
Story Coverage note for On Holding
The number of cover stories for On Holding depends on current market conditions and On Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that On Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about On Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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On Holding Short Properties
On Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when On Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of On Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential On Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. On Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 323.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 528.8 M |
Check out On Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in ONON Stock, please use our How to Invest in On Holding guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of On Holding. If investors know ONON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about On Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share 6.706 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.323 | Return On Assets 0.0652 |
The market value of On Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ONON that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of On Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is On Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because On Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect On Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between On Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if On Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, On Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.