Nexpoint Residential Trust Stock Price Prediction
| NXRT Stock | USD 47.46 0.28 0.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.718 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.24) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.21) | Wall Street Target Price 47.125 |
Using Nexpoint Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nexpoint Residential Trust from the perspective of Nexpoint Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nexpoint Residential to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nexpoint because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nexpoint Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 47.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nexpoint |
Nexpoint Residential After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nexpoint Residential at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nexpoint Residential or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nexpoint Residential, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nexpoint Residential Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nexpoint Residential's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nexpoint Residential's historical news coverage. Nexpoint Residential's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.92 and 48.94, respectively. We have considered Nexpoint Residential's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nexpoint Residential is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nexpoint Residential is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nexpoint Residential Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nexpoint Residential is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nexpoint Residential backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nexpoint Residential, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.50 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 33 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 33 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
47.46 | 47.43 | 0.06 |
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Nexpoint Residential Hype Timeline
Nexpoint Residential is now traded for 47.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nexpoint is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 197.37%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Nexpoint Residential is about 386.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.45. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Nexpoint Residential was now reported as 17.6. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 127.96. Nexpoint Residential last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 33 days. Check out Nexpoint Residential Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nexpoint Residential Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nexpoint Residential's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nexpoint Residential's future price movements. Getting to know how Nexpoint Residential's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nexpoint Residential may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRE | Veris Residential | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.24 | (0.01) | 2.42 | (2.08) | 5.75 | |
| CLPR | Clipper Realty | (0.01) | 10 per month | 3.09 | (0) | 6.43 | (5.08) | 20.26 | |
| UDR | UDR Inc | (0.02) | 7 per month | 1.02 | (0.01) | 2.08 | (1.44) | 5.53 | |
| ELS | Equity Lifestyle Properties | (1.05) | 10 per month | 1.29 | (0.06) | 1.84 | (1.95) | 4.92 | |
| SUI | Sun Communities | (1.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.26 | (2.32) | 9.22 | |
| UMH | UMH Properties | (0.38) | 10 per month | 1.07 | (0.09) | 2.09 | (1.95) | 4.64 | |
| AMH | American Homes 4 | (0.20) | 10 per month | 1.25 | (0.1) | 1.93 | (2.05) | 6.31 |
Nexpoint Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nexpoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexpoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nexpoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Nexpoint Residential Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nexpoint Residential stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nexpoint Residential Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nexpoint Residential based on analysis of Nexpoint Residential hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nexpoint Residential's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nexpoint Residential's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.017 | 0.0365 | 0.0507 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.62 | 4.22 | 3.18 |
Story Coverage note for Nexpoint Residential
The number of cover stories for Nexpoint Residential depends on current market conditions and Nexpoint Residential's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nexpoint Residential is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nexpoint Residential's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nexpoint Residential Short Properties
Nexpoint Residential's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nexpoint Residential's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nexpoint Residential Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nexpoint Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nexpoint Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.4 M |
Additional Tools for Nexpoint Stock Analysis
When running Nexpoint Residential's price analysis, check to measure Nexpoint Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexpoint Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Nexpoint Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexpoint Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexpoint Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexpoint Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.