Newtek Business Services Stock Price Prediction
| NEWT Stock | USD 13.01 0.29 2.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.044 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.926 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.142 | Wall Street Target Price 14.675 |
Using Newtek Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newtek Business Services from the perspective of Newtek Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newtek Business to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newtek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Newtek Business after-hype prediction price | USD 12.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Newtek |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newtek Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newtek Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newtek Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newtek Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newtek Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newtek Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newtek Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newtek Business' historical news coverage. Newtek Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.33 and 15.59, respectively. We have considered Newtek Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newtek Business is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newtek Business Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newtek Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newtek Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newtek Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newtek Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.63 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.01 | 12.96 | 0.38 |
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Newtek Business Hype Timeline
Newtek Business Services is now traded for 13.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Newtek is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Newtek Business is about 15470.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.01. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Newtek Business Services last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. The entity had 1:5 split on the 23rd of October 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Newtek Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Newtek Business Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newtek Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newtek Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Newtek Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newtek Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.33 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.03 | (1.02) | 7.08 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.94 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 2.00 | (1.20) | 4.90 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.48 | (0.56) | 3.47 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,329 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.07 | 1.78 | (0.78) | 6.86 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.88 | 0.03 | 12.90 | (9.09) | 30.02 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.21 | (0.11) | 0.36 | (0.28) | 1.49 | |
| SEGI | Sycamore Entmt Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.39 | 0.12 | 28.57 | (20.00) | 70.63 |
Newtek Business Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newtek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newtek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newtek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Newtek Business Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Newtek Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newtek Business Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newtek Business based on analysis of Newtek Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newtek Business's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newtek Business's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.0423 | 0.059 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.26 | 1.32 | 1.98 |
Story Coverage note for Newtek Business
The number of cover stories for Newtek Business depends on current market conditions and Newtek Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newtek Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newtek Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newtek Business Short Properties
Newtek Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Newtek Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newtek Business Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newtek Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newtek Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 153.1 M |
Additional Tools for Newtek Stock Analysis
When running Newtek Business' price analysis, check to measure Newtek Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newtek Business is operating at the current time. Most of Newtek Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newtek Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newtek Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newtek Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.