The9 Ltd Adr Stock Price Prediction
| NCTY Stock | USD 13.32 0.03 0.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 3.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.286 |
Using The9 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The9 Ltd ADR from the perspective of The9 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in The9 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying The9 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
The9 after-hype prediction price | USD 13.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
The9 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The9's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
The9 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of The9 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in The9 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of The9, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
The9 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting The9's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on The9's historical news coverage. The9's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.52 and 18.16, respectively. We have considered The9's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
The9 is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The9 Ltd ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
The9 Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as The9 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The9 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with The9, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.11 | 4.85 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.32 | 13.34 | 0.15 |
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The9 Hype Timeline
The9 Ltd ADR is now traded for 13.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. The9 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.11%. The volatility of related hype on The9 is about 8934.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 179.05 M. Net Income was 12.58 M with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (65.74 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out The9 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.The9 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to The9's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict The9's future price movements. Getting to know how The9's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how The9 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
The9 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine The9 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for The9 using various technical indicators. When you analyze The9 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About The9 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of The9 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The9 Ltd ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of The9 based on analysis of The9 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to The9's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to The9's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0144 | 0.0128 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.15 | 0.14 |
Story Coverage note for The9
The number of cover stories for The9 depends on current market conditions and The9's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that The9 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about The9's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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The9 Short Properties
The9's future price predictability will typically decrease when The9's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The9 Ltd ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential The9's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. The9's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.2 M |
Additional Tools for The9 Stock Analysis
When running The9's price analysis, check to measure The9's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy The9 is operating at the current time. Most of The9's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of The9's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move The9's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of The9 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.