Merck (Brazil) Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 61.84 64.16 85.01 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Merck. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Merck's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Merck's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Merck.

Merck After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Merck Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Merck Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.01	2.32	0.00	0.00	0 Events / Month	0 Events / Month	Uncertain

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
77.28	77.28	0.00	0.00   Notes

Merck Hype Timeline

Merck is now traded for 77.28on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merck is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.28. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.35. Merck last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2023. The entity had 8:1 split on the 29th of October 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Merck Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Merck Related Hype Analysis

Merck Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Merck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Merck stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Merck Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merck based on analysis of Merck hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Merck depends on current market conditions and Merck's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merck is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merck's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Merck's future price predictability will typically decrease when Merck's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Merck Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Merck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Merck's price analysis, check to measure Merck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merck is operating at the current time. Most of Merck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.