Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction

MOD Stock  USD 135.79  2.42  1.81%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Modine Manufacturing's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Modine Manufacturing, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Modine Manufacturing's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Modine Manufacturing and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Modine Manufacturing's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Modine Manufacturing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Modine Manufacturing's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.87
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.24
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.81
Wall Street Target Price
148
Using Modine Manufacturing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Modine Manufacturing from the perspective of Modine Manufacturing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Modine Manufacturing Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Modine Manufacturing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Modine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Modine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Modine Manufacturing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Modine Manufacturing's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Modine Manufacturing.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Modine Manufacturing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Modine because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Modine Manufacturing after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 137.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Modine Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.4679.32149.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.51135.37139.23
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.6451.2556.89
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.740.790.84
Details

Modine Manufacturing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Modine Manufacturing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Modine Manufacturing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Modine Manufacturing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Modine Manufacturing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Modine Manufacturing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Modine Manufacturing's historical news coverage. Modine Manufacturing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 133.92 and 141.64, respectively. We have considered Modine Manufacturing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
135.79
133.92
Downside
137.78
After-hype Price
141.64
Upside
Modine Manufacturing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Modine Manufacturing is based on 3 months time horizon.

Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Modine Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Modine Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Modine Manufacturing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
3.86
  1.99 
  0.16 
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
135.79
137.78
1.47 
83.55  
Notes

Modine Manufacturing Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November Modine Manufacturing is traded for 135.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.99, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Modine is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 137.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 83.55%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Modine Manufacturing is about 1065.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 135.95. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.41 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 161.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 309.3 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Modine Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.

Modine Manufacturing Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Modine Manufacturing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. Getting to know how Modine Manufacturing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Modine Manufacturing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CPSCooper Stnd 0.80 9 per month 3.47 (0.02) 5.54 (6.64) 24.31 
MPAAMotorcar Parts of 0.09 10 per month 3.43  0.02  8.38 (6.22) 19.99 
AXLAmerican Axle Manufacturing(0.06)9 per month 2.20 (0.02) 5.00 (3.27) 12.38 
SRIStoneridge(0.10)8 per month 0.00 (0.26) 4.32 (6.29) 30.05 
DANDana Inc(0.11)10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.53 (5.70) 22.77 
DORMDorman Products 2.65 12 per month 0.97  0.11  3.10 (2.12) 14.67 
SMPStandard Motor Products 0.13 9 per month 2.02 (0.01) 3.71 (3.41) 24.56 
PLOWDouglas Dynamics 0.39 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.14 (1.97) 13.91 
MNROMonro Muffler Brake(0.16)7 per month 1.62 (0.02) 4.55 (2.57) 10.48 
FOXFFox Factory Holding 1.10 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.31 (4.97) 15.31 
LEALear Corporation(0.04)9 per month 0.00 (0.19) 3.00 (3.53) 9.76 
GNTXGentex 0.29 11 per month 1.43 (0.09) 2.24 (2.36) 7.93 
BWABorgWarner(0.27)9 per month 1.70 (0.05) 2.84 (2.87) 7.85 

Modine Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Modine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Modine Manufacturing Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Modine Manufacturing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Modine Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Modine Manufacturing based on analysis of Modine Manufacturing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Modine Manufacturing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Modine Manufacturing's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding72.3968.0266.0645.29
PTB Ratio1.022.016.586.91

Story Coverage note for Modine Manufacturing

The number of cover stories for Modine Manufacturing depends on current market conditions and Modine Manufacturing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Modine Manufacturing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Modine Manufacturing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Modine Manufacturing Short Properties

Modine Manufacturing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Modine Manufacturing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Modine Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Modine Manufacturing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Modine Manufacturing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments60.1 M

Complementary Tools for Modine Stock analysis

When running Modine Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Modine Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modine Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Modine Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modine Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modine Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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