Borgwarner Stock Price Prediction

BWA Stock  USD 28.35  0.35  1.22%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of BorgWarner's share price is approaching 32 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BorgWarner, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BorgWarner's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BorgWarner, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BorgWarner's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.909
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0279
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.3241
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.8336
Wall Street Target Price
37.5688
Using BorgWarner hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BorgWarner from the perspective of BorgWarner response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BorgWarner using BorgWarner's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BorgWarner using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BorgWarner's stock price.

BorgWarner Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in BorgWarner's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BorgWarner. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BorgWarner stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
32.8165
Short Percent
0.0668
Short Ratio
4.81
Shares Short Prior Month
11.3 M
50 Day MA
30.5944

BorgWarner Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BorgWarner's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BorgWarner. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BorgWarner can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BorgWarner. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BorgWarner's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BorgWarner.

BorgWarner Implied Volatility

    
  0.54  
BorgWarner's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BorgWarner stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BorgWarner's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BorgWarner stock will not fluctuate a lot when BorgWarner's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BorgWarner to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BorgWarner because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BorgWarner after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BorgWarner contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BorgWarner will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With BorgWarner trading at USD 28.35, that is roughly USD 0.009568 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BorgWarner's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BorgWarner options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out BorgWarner Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade BorgWarner Stock refer to our How to Trade BorgWarner Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BorgWarner's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5234.4336.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.7927.4829.17
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.8739.4243.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.850.981.05
Details

BorgWarner After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BorgWarner at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BorgWarner or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BorgWarner, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BorgWarner Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BorgWarner's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BorgWarner's historical news coverage. BorgWarner's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.80 and 30.18, respectively. We have considered BorgWarner's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.35
28.49
After-hype Price
30.18
Upside
BorgWarner is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BorgWarner is based on 3 months time horizon.

BorgWarner Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BorgWarner is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BorgWarner backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BorgWarner, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.69
  0.14 
  0.09 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.35
28.49
0.49 
213.92  
Notes

BorgWarner Hype Timeline

On the 18th of March 2025 BorgWarner is traded for 28.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. BorgWarner is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on BorgWarner is about 355.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.44. The company reported the last year's revenue of 14.09 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 338 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.65 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out BorgWarner Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade BorgWarner Stock refer to our How to Trade BorgWarner Stock guide.

BorgWarner Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BorgWarner's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BorgWarner's future price movements. Getting to know how BorgWarner's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BorgWarner may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LEALear Corporation(0.07)10 per month 0.00  0.01  2.27 (2.86) 8.61 
ALVAutoliv(0.42)9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.54 (3.00) 9.68 
FOXFFox Factory Holding(0.42)6 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.00 (4.31) 15.53 
LKQLKQ Corporation 0.37 13 per month 1.31  0.14  1.94 (2.25) 9.02 
VCVisteon Corp 1.97 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.05 (3.09) 8.41 
GNTXGentex(0.01)10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.19 (2.29) 10.85 
DORMDorman Products 3.27 8 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.60 (3.19) 7.99 
ADNTAdient PLC(0.12)9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.74 (4.95) 10.62 
DANDana Inc(0.78)7 per month 2.39  0.1  5.46 (3.75) 19.62 
APTVAptiv PLC 0.97 7 per month 1.36  0.15  2.59 (2.38) 7.37 

BorgWarner Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BorgWarner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BorgWarner using various technical indicators. When you analyze BorgWarner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BorgWarner Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BorgWarner stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BorgWarner, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BorgWarner based on analysis of BorgWarner hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BorgWarner's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BorgWarner's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01930.01580.01380.0153
Price To Sales Ratio0.530.580.50.57

Story Coverage note for BorgWarner

The number of cover stories for BorgWarner depends on current market conditions and BorgWarner's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BorgWarner is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BorgWarner's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BorgWarner Short Properties

BorgWarner's future price predictability will typically decrease when BorgWarner's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BorgWarner often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BorgWarner's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BorgWarner's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding224.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B

Complementary Tools for BorgWarner Stock analysis

When running BorgWarner's price analysis, check to measure BorgWarner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BorgWarner is operating at the current time. Most of BorgWarner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BorgWarner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BorgWarner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BorgWarner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements