Lightspeed Commerce Stock Price Prediction
| LSPD Stock | USD 10.49 0.09 0.85% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1035 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4538 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6045 | Wall Street Target Price 15.902 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.1031 |
Using Lightspeed Commerce hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightspeed Commerce from the perspective of Lightspeed Commerce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lightspeed Commerce using Lightspeed Commerce's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lightspeed using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lightspeed Commerce's stock price.
Lightspeed Commerce Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lightspeed Commerce's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lightspeed. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lightspeed Commerce stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.4294 | Short Percent 0.0361 | Short Ratio 4.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.4 M | 50 Day MA 13.2694 |
Lightspeed Commerce Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lightspeed Commerce's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lightspeed. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lightspeed can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lightspeed Commerce. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lightspeed Commerce's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lightspeed Commerce.
Lightspeed Commerce Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Lightspeed Commerce's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lightspeed Commerce stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lightspeed Commerce's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lightspeed Commerce stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lightspeed Commerce's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lightspeed Commerce to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lightspeed because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lightspeed Commerce after-hype prediction price | USD 10.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lightspeed contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lightspeed Commerce will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Lightspeed Commerce trading at USD 10.49, that is roughly USD 0.006556 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lightspeed Commerce's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lightspeed Commerce options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lightspeed |
Lightspeed Commerce After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lightspeed Commerce at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lightspeed Commerce or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lightspeed Commerce, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lightspeed Commerce Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lightspeed Commerce's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lightspeed Commerce's historical news coverage. Lightspeed Commerce's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.47 and 13.09, respectively. We have considered Lightspeed Commerce's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lightspeed Commerce is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lightspeed Commerce is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lightspeed Commerce Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lightspeed Commerce is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lightspeed Commerce backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lightspeed Commerce, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 2.79 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 7 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.49 | 10.28 | 2.84 |
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Lightspeed Commerce Hype Timeline
Lightspeed Commerce is now traded for 10.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Lightspeed is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.84%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Lightspeed Commerce is about 698.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.23. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lightspeed Commerce recorded a loss per share of 0.8. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Lightspeed Commerce Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lightspeed Commerce Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lightspeed Commerce's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. Getting to know how Lightspeed Commerce's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lightspeed Commerce may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Lightspeed Commerce Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lightspeed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightspeed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightspeed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lightspeed Commerce Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lightspeed Commerce stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lightspeed Commerce, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lightspeed Commerce based on analysis of Lightspeed Commerce hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lightspeed Commerce's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lightspeed Commerce's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.78 | 15.64 | 14.08 | 14.78 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 11.76 | 11.49 | 10.34 | 6.27 |
Story Coverage note for Lightspeed Commerce
The number of cover stories for Lightspeed Commerce depends on current market conditions and Lightspeed Commerce's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lightspeed Commerce is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lightspeed Commerce's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Lightspeed Commerce Short Properties
Lightspeed Commerce's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lightspeed Commerce's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lightspeed Commerce often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lightspeed Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightspeed Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 722.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Lightspeed Stock analysis
When running Lightspeed Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Lightspeed Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightspeed Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Lightspeed Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightspeed Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightspeed Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightspeed Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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