Lgi Homes Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 99.27 119.75 122.11 Details

6 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 116.71 128.25 142.36 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 2.09 2.16 2.25 Details

LGI Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

LGI Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

LGI Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.06	2.34	0.43	0.03	8 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 8 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
110.30	110.73	0.39	32.73   Notes

LGI Homes Hype Timeline

LGI Homes is now traded for 110.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. LGI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 110.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 32.73%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.39%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on LGI Homes is about 433.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.33. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.36 B. Net Income was 199.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 653.47 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out LGI Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in LGI Stock please use our How to Invest in LGI Homes guide.

LGI Homes Related Hype Analysis

LGI Homes Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of LGI Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LGI Homes, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LGI Homes based on analysis of LGI Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for LGI Homes depends on current market conditions and LGI Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LGI Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LGI Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LGI Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when LGI Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LGI Homes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LGI Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LGI Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running LGI Homes' price analysis, check to measure LGI Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LGI Homes is operating at the current time. Most of LGI Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LGI Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LGI Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LGI Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.