Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| LECO Stock | USD 216.62 0.48 0.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.761 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.246 | Wall Street Target Price 217 |
Using Lincoln Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln Electric Holdings from the perspective of Lincoln Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lincoln Electric Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lincoln Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln Electric Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln Electric's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln Electric.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lincoln Electric to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lincoln because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lincoln Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 218.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lincoln |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lincoln Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lincoln Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lincoln Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lincoln Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lincoln Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln Electric's historical news coverage. Lincoln Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 216.42 and 220.42, respectively. We have considered Lincoln Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lincoln Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln Electric Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lincoln Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.02 | 1.80 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
216.62 | 218.42 | 0.83 |
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Lincoln Electric Hype Timeline
Lincoln Electric Holdings is now traded for 216.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Lincoln is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 218.42 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 22.47%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Electric is about 411.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 216.52. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.19 B. Net Income was 545.25 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.28 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Lincoln Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lincoln Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KMT | Kennametal | (1.71) | 10 per month | 1.64 | 0.02 | 2.72 | (2.28) | 23.53 | |
| TTC | Toro Co | (1.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.23 | (2.19) | 11.13 | |
| SNA | Snap On | (0.59) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.08 | (0.96) | 10.93 | |
| RBC | RBC Bearings Incorporated | 2.42 | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.06 | 2.12 | (1.98) | 11.43 | |
| TKR | Timken Company | (2.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.64 | (2.47) | 16.50 | |
| RBCP | RBC Bearings | 0.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.00 | (3.08) | 7.74 | |
| EML | Eastern Co | (2.00) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.39 | (3.42) | 11.83 | |
| SCX | LS Starrett | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.05 | 6.74 | (5.00) | 16.39 | |
| HLMN | Hillman Solutions Corp | (0.16) | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.06 | 3.25 | (2.21) | 7.63 | |
| SWK | Stanley Black Decker | (0.83) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.63 | (3.02) | 12.37 | |
| PFIN | PF Industries | 0.04 | 1 per month | 1.33 | 0.18 | 3.15 | (2.91) | 11.88 | |
| SCXLB | The LS Starrett | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lincoln Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lincoln Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lincoln Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln Electric Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Electric based on analysis of Lincoln Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln Electric's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0147 | 0.0156 | 0.0119 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.56 | 2.23 | 2.98 | 3.12 |
Story Coverage note for Lincoln Electric
The number of cover stories for Lincoln Electric depends on current market conditions and Lincoln Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lincoln Electric Short Properties
Lincoln Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln Electric Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 393.8 M |
Check out Lincoln Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln Electric. If investors know Lincoln will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lincoln Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 2.84 | Earnings Share 8.39 | Revenue Per Share 71.184 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Lincoln Electric Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lincoln that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lincoln Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lincoln Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lincoln Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lincoln Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lincoln Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lincoln Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lincoln Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.