International Paper Stock Price Prediction
| IP Stock | USD 58.38 0.73 1.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2574 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9341 | Wall Street Target Price 56.152 |
Using International Paper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Paper from the perspective of International Paper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
International Paper Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to International Paper's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in International. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding International can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around International Paper. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of International Paper's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about International Paper.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in International Paper to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
International Paper after-hype prediction price | USD 58.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
International |
International Paper After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of International Paper at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Paper or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Paper, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
International Paper Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting International Paper's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Paper's historical news coverage. International Paper's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.56 and 60.84, respectively. We have considered International Paper's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
International Paper is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Paper is based on 3 months time horizon.
International Paper Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Paper is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Paper backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Paper, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.15 | 0.31 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
58.38 | 58.70 | 0.55 |
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International Paper Hype Timeline
As of November 28, 2024 International Paper is listed for 58.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. International is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 58.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on International Paper is about 995.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.45. The company generated the yearly revenue of 18.92 B. Reported Net Income was 288 M with gross profit of 6.02 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out International Paper Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.International Paper Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to International Paper's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Paper's future price movements. Getting to know how International Paper's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Paper may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WRK | WestRock Co | (0.41) | 8 per month | 1.26 | (0.02) | 2.75 | (2.33) | 9.53 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.49 | (0.04) | 2.26 | (2.43) | 8.28 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | (0.92) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.60 | (1.94) | 6.42 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.92 | (1.65) | 4.84 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.69 | (1.74) | 9.98 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | 1.16 | 9 per month | 0.30 | 0.15 | 2.43 | (1.15) | 6.68 | |
| OI | O I Glass | 0.49 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.29 | (3.81) | 13.61 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.04 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 5.37 | |
| GEF | Greif Bros | 0.81 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.05 | 2.68 | (2.28) | 9.21 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 1.03 | 11 per month | 0.96 | (0.08) | 1.47 | (1.80) | 6.39 |
International Paper Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About International Paper Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of International Paper stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International Paper, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Paper based on analysis of International Paper hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to International Paper's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to International Paper's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0426 | 0.0535 | 0.0512 | 0.0264 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.94 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.52 |
Story Coverage note for International Paper
The number of cover stories for International Paper depends on current market conditions and International Paper's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Paper is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Paper's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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International Paper Short Properties
International Paper's future price predictability will typically decrease when International Paper's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Paper often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Paper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Paper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 349.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Paper's price analysis, check to measure International Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Paper is operating at the current time. Most of International Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.