Ball Corporation Stock Price Prediction
| BALL Stock | USD 49.85 0.52 1.05% |
Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.008 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7583 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.5248 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9513 | Wall Street Target Price 62.2575 |
Using Ball hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ball Corporation from the perspective of Ball response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ball using Ball's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ball using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ball's stock price.
Ball Short Interest
An investor who is long Ball may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ball and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ball with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 62.0678 | Short Percent 0.0253 | Short Ratio 2.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 54.8674 |
Ball Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ball's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ball. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ball can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ball Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ball's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ball.
Ball Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Ball's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ball Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ball's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ball stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ball's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ball to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ball because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ball after-hype prediction price | USD 50.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ball contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ball Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Ball trading at USD 49.85, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ball's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ball Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ball |
Ball After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ball at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ball or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ball, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ball Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ball's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ball's historical news coverage. Ball's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.54 and 51.78, respectively. We have considered Ball's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ball is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ball is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ball Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ball is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ball backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ball, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 1.62 | 0.31 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.85 | 50.16 | 0.62 |
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Ball Hype Timeline
Ball is currently traded for 49.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Ball is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 147.27%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Ball is about 2509.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.83. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.79 B. Net Income was 4.01 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.44 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Ball Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ball Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ball's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ball's future price movements. Getting to know how Ball's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ball may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.64 | (2.23) | 5.74 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | (1.01) | 12 per month | 1.10 | 0 | 1.66 | (1.92) | 7.24 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.61) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.96 | (1.87) | 5.06 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.1) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.63 | (1.97) | 8.71 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.85 | (1.98) | 5.49 | |
| IP | International Paper | 1.50 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.54 | (2.25) | 6.31 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | 0.88 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.68 | (1.94) | 8.04 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | (0.59) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.13 | (1.63) | 12.20 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | (0.59) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.80 | (2.11) | 7.51 | |
| WRK | WestRock Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OI | O I Glass | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.78 | (4.13) | 9.80 |
Ball Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ball price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ball using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ball charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ball Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ball stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ball Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ball based on analysis of Ball hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ball's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ball's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0157 | 0.0139 | 0.0145 | 0.0166 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.05 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 0.72 |
Story Coverage note for Ball
The number of cover stories for Ball depends on current market conditions and Ball's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ball is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ball's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ball Short Properties
Ball's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ball's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ball Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ball's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ball's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 308.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 885 M |
Check out Ball Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ball. If investors know Ball will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ball listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.008 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Ball is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ball that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ball's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ball's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ball's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ball's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ball's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ball is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ball's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.