Hilton Worldwide Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| HLT Stock | USD 253.44 3.02 1.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0544 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9913 | Wall Street Target Price 235.88 |
Using Hilton Worldwide hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hilton Worldwide Holdings from the perspective of Hilton Worldwide response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Hilton Worldwide's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Hilton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Hilton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Hilton Worldwide's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Hilton Worldwide.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hilton Worldwide to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hilton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Hilton Worldwide after-hype prediction price | USD 253.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Hilton |
Hilton Worldwide After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Hilton Worldwide at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hilton Worldwide or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hilton Worldwide, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Hilton Worldwide Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Hilton Worldwide's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hilton Worldwide's historical news coverage. Hilton Worldwide's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 252.57 and 254.73, respectively. We have considered Hilton Worldwide's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Hilton Worldwide is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Hilton Worldwide Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hilton Worldwide is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hilton Worldwide backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hilton Worldwide, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.08 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
253.44 | 253.65 | 0.08 |
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Hilton Worldwide Hype Timeline
On the 30th of November Hilton Worldwide Holdings is traded for 253.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Hilton is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 253.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 133.33%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Hilton Worldwide is about 130.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 253.65. The company reported the last year's revenue of 10.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.15 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.74 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Hilton Worldwide Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Hilton Worldwide Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Hilton Worldwide's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. Getting to know how Hilton Worldwide's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hilton Worldwide may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| H | Hyatt Hotels | 1.41 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0) | 2.80 | (3.06) | 11.34 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | 0.58 | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.91) | 12.06 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.95 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.09 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 7.92 | |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.89 | 7 per month | 0.55 | 0.20 | 2.10 | (1.22) | 5.83 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | 1.52 | 10 per month | 0.74 | 0.18 | 2.12 | (1.60) | 7.95 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | (0.39) | 7 per month | 2.01 | 0.03 | 6.30 | (3.36) | 22.48 |
Hilton Worldwide Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Hilton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hilton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hilton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Hilton Worldwide Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Hilton Worldwide stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hilton Worldwide Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hilton Worldwide based on analysis of Hilton Worldwide hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hilton Worldwide's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hilton Worldwide's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.00354 | 0.003312 | 0.003146 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.52 | 4.66 | 2.44 |
Story Coverage note for Hilton Worldwide
The number of cover stories for Hilton Worldwide depends on current market conditions and Hilton Worldwide's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hilton Worldwide is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hilton Worldwide's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Hilton Worldwide Short Properties
Hilton Worldwide's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hilton Worldwide's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hilton Worldwide Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hilton Worldwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilton Worldwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 264 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800 M |
Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis
When running Hilton Worldwide's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Worldwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Worldwide is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Worldwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Worldwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Worldwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Worldwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.