Amtd Digital Stock Price Prediction
| HKD Stock | USD 2.49 0.12 4.60% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.696 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) |
Using AMTD Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMTD Digital from the perspective of AMTD Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMTD Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMTD because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMTD Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 2.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AMTD |
AMTD Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMTD Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMTD Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMTD Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMTD Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMTD Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMTD Digital's historical news coverage. AMTD Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.42, respectively. We have considered AMTD Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMTD Digital is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMTD Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMTD Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMTD Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMTD Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMTD Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 3.96 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.49 | 2.49 | 0.00 |
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AMTD Digital Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February AMTD Digital is traded for 2.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. AMTD is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on AMTD Digital is about 4856.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.47. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMTD Digital had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out AMTD Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMTD Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMTD Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMTD Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how AMTD Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMTD Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTCR | HeartCore Enterprises | 0.06 | 4 per month | 8.88 | 0.05 | 10.27 | (15.12) | 78.60 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | (0.19) | 9 per month | 5.62 | 0.04 | 12.01 | (9.53) | 57.50 | |
| CXAI | CXApp Inc | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.48 | 0.02 | 11.94 | (7.91) | 46.87 | |
| SOUN | SoundHound AI | (0.43) | 9 per month | 7.00 | 0.10 | 19.71 | (11.17) | 59.40 | |
| IDAI | Trust Stamp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 10.96 | 0.08 | 34.31 | (17.99) | 163.74 | |
| INPX | INPX Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRST | Presto Automation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KBNT | Kubient | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MVLA | Movella Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IFBD | Infobird Co | (0.03) | 7 per month | 6.13 | 0.04 | 8.64 | (7.76) | 65.71 | |
| QH | Quhuo | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.23 | 0.06 | 4.26 | (3.68) | 13.25 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | (0.45) | 4 per month | 4.32 | 0.02 | 8.13 | (7.40) | 34.87 | |
| XELA | Exela Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
AMTD Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMTD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMTD using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMTD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AMTD Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMTD Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMTD Digital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMTD Digital based on analysis of AMTD Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMTD Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMTD Digital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 72.79 | 108.21 | 124.44 | 118.22 | PTB Ratio | 6.97 | 2.79 | 3.21 | 3.05 |
Story Coverage note for AMTD Digital
The number of cover stories for AMTD Digital depends on current market conditions and AMTD Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMTD Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMTD Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AMTD Digital Short Properties
AMTD Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMTD Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMTD Digital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMTD Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMTD Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163 M |
Complementary Tools for AMTD Stock analysis
When running AMTD Digital's price analysis, check to measure AMTD Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMTD Digital is operating at the current time. Most of AMTD Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMTD Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMTD Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMTD Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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