Helgeland Sparebank (Norway) Price Prediction
| HELG Stock | NOK 162.06 2.94 1.78% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Helgeland Sparebank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Helgeland Sparebank from the perspective of Helgeland Sparebank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Helgeland Sparebank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Helgeland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Helgeland Sparebank after-hype prediction price | NOK 162.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Helgeland |
Helgeland Sparebank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Helgeland Sparebank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Helgeland Sparebank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Helgeland Sparebank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Helgeland Sparebank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Helgeland Sparebank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Helgeland Sparebank's historical news coverage. Helgeland Sparebank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 160.35 and 163.77, respectively. We have considered Helgeland Sparebank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Helgeland Sparebank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Helgeland Sparebank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Helgeland Sparebank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Helgeland Sparebank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Helgeland Sparebank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Helgeland Sparebank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
162.06 | 162.06 | 0.00 |
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Helgeland Sparebank Hype Timeline
Helgeland Sparebank is currently traded for 162.06on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Helgeland is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Helgeland Sparebank is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.06. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Helgeland Sparebank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.75. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The firm had 2:1 split on the 6th of April 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Helgeland Sparebank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Helgeland Sparebank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Helgeland Sparebank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Helgeland Sparebank's future price movements. Getting to know how Helgeland Sparebank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Helgeland Sparebank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NONG | Sparebank 1 Nord Norge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.24 | 1.91 | (1.24) | 3.97 | |
| MING | Sparebank 1 SMN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | 0.21 | 1.72 | (1.60) | 4.21 | |
| SVEG | Sparebanken Vest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.1 | 1.75 | (1.57) | 7.95 | |
| MORG | Sparebanken Mre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.09 | 1.85 | (1.78) | 7.73 |
Helgeland Sparebank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Helgeland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Helgeland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Helgeland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Helgeland Sparebank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Helgeland Sparebank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Helgeland Sparebank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Helgeland Sparebank based on analysis of Helgeland Sparebank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Helgeland Sparebank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Helgeland Sparebank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Helgeland Sparebank
The number of cover stories for Helgeland Sparebank depends on current market conditions and Helgeland Sparebank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Helgeland Sparebank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Helgeland Sparebank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Helgeland Sparebank Short Properties
Helgeland Sparebank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Helgeland Sparebank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Helgeland Sparebank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Helgeland Sparebank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Helgeland Sparebank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73 M |
Other Information on Investing in Helgeland Stock
Helgeland Sparebank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Helgeland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Helgeland with respect to the benefits of owning Helgeland Sparebank security.