Great West Lifeco Stock Price Prediction

GWO Stock  CAD 53.41  0.18  0.34%   
The relative strength indicator of Great-West Lifeco's share price is above 70 as of today. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Great-West, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Great-West Lifeco's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Great West Lifeco, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Great-West Lifeco's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.506
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1586
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.8772
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.216
Wall Street Target Price
52.95
Using Great-West Lifeco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great West Lifeco from the perspective of Great-West Lifeco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great-West Lifeco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great-West because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Great-West Lifeco after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 53.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Great-West Lifeco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.7051.3258.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.1951.8153.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.161.191.22
Details

Great-West Lifeco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Great-West Lifeco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great-West Lifeco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Great-West Lifeco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Great-West Lifeco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Great-West Lifeco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great-West Lifeco's historical news coverage. Great-West Lifeco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.72 and 54.96, respectively. We have considered Great-West Lifeco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
53.41
53.34
After-hype Price
54.96
Upside
Great-West Lifeco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great West Lifeco is based on 3 months time horizon.

Great-West Lifeco Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great-West Lifeco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great-West Lifeco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great-West Lifeco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.60
  0.12 
  0.04 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.41
53.34
0.21 
177.78  
Notes

Great-West Lifeco Hype Timeline

Great West Lifeco is currently traded for 53.41on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Great-West is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 53.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 177.78%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Great-West Lifeco is about 476.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.37. The company reported the revenue of 17.22 B. Net Income was 4.07 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.88 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Great-West Lifeco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Great-West Lifeco Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Great-West Lifeco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great-West Lifeco's future price movements. Getting to know how Great-West Lifeco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great-West Lifeco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Great-West Lifeco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Great-West price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great-West using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great-West charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Great-West Lifeco Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Great-West Lifeco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great West Lifeco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great-West Lifeco based on analysis of Great-West Lifeco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great-West Lifeco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great-West Lifeco's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05060.04950.0318
Price To Sales Ratio1.622.582.71

Story Coverage note for Great-West Lifeco

The number of cover stories for Great-West Lifeco depends on current market conditions and Great-West Lifeco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great-West Lifeco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great-West Lifeco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Great-West Lifeco Short Properties

Great-West Lifeco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Great-West Lifeco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Great West Lifeco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Great-West Lifeco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great-West Lifeco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding932.1 M

Other Information on Investing in Great-West Stock

Great-West Lifeco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-West Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-West with respect to the benefits of owning Great-West Lifeco security.