Globus Medical Stock Price Prediction
| GMED Stock | USD 79.58 0.44 0.55% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.827 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7704 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4518 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9574 | Wall Street Target Price 98.6923 |
Using Globus Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Globus Medical from the perspective of Globus Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Globus Medical using Globus Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Globus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Globus Medical's stock price.
Globus Medical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Globus Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Globus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Globus Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 75.1904 | Short Percent 0.0215 | Short Ratio 1.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 86.4502 |
Globus Medical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Globus Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Globus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Globus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Globus Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Globus Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Globus Medical.
Globus Medical Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Globus Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Globus Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Globus Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Globus Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Globus Medical's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Globus Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Globus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Globus Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 78.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Globus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Globus Medical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Globus Medical trading at USD 79.58, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Globus Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Globus Medical options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Globus |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Globus Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Globus Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Globus Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Globus Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Globus Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Globus Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Globus Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Globus Medical's historical news coverage. Globus Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.42 and 80.30, respectively. We have considered Globus Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Globus Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Globus Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Globus Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Globus Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Globus Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Globus Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.43 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
79.58 | 78.86 | 0.01 |
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Globus Medical Hype Timeline
Globus Medical is currently traded for 79.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Globus is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 78.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Globus Medical is about 368.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.54. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Globus Medical was currently reported as 30.4. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.12. Globus Medical had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Globus Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Globus Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Globus Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Globus Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Globus Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Globus Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Globus Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Globus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Globus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Globus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Globus Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Globus Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Globus Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Globus Medical based on analysis of Globus Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Globus Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Globus Medical's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 77.55 | 117.49 | 80.8 | PTB Ratio | 4.04 | 1.51 | 2.69 |
Story Coverage note for Globus Medical
The number of cover stories for Globus Medical depends on current market conditions and Globus Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Globus Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Globus Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Globus Medical Short Properties
Globus Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Globus Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Globus Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Globus Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Globus Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 890.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Globus Stock analysis
When running Globus Medical's price analysis, check to measure Globus Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Globus Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Globus Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Globus Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Globus Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Globus Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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