GB Group (UK) Price Prediction
| GBG Stock | 378.60 4.60 1.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.3 | Wall Street Target Price 422.5 |
Using GB Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GB Group plc from the perspective of GB Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GB Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GBG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GB Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 381.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GBG |
GB Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GB Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GB Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GB Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GB Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GB Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GB Group's historical news coverage. GB Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 340.74 and 384.18, respectively. We have considered GB Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GB Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GB Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
GB Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GB Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GB Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GB Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.78 | 2.80 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
378.60 | 381.40 | 0.74 |
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GB Group Hype Timeline
GB Group plc is currently traded for 378.60on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. GBG is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 381.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 24.82%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on GB Group is about 9840.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 378.59. The company reported the revenue of 277.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 197.82 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out GB Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GB Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GB Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GB Group's future price movements. Getting to know how GB Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GB Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SYME | SupplyMe Capital PLC | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 58.33 | |
| LLOY | Lloyds Banking Group | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.03 | (2.67) | 9.67 | |
| PREM | Premier African Minerals | (0.02) | 1 per month | 7.78 | 0.03 | 15.38 | (9.41) | 65.73 | |
| SANB | SANTANDER UK 8 | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.66) | 0.37 | (0.37) | 1.47 | |
| 88E | 88 Energy | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.78 | (2.70) | 13.74 | |
| 0LQQ | Vodafone Group PLC | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.07 | (2.33) | 12.13 |
GB Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GBG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GBG using various technical indicators. When you analyze GBG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About GB Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GB Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GB Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GB Group based on analysis of GB Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GB Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GB Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for GB Group
The number of cover stories for GB Group depends on current market conditions and GB Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GB Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GB Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GB Group Short Properties
GB Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when GB Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GB Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GB Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GB Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 252.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.3 M |
Complementary Tools for GBG Stock analysis
When running GB Group's price analysis, check to measure GB Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GB Group is operating at the current time. Most of GB Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GB Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GB Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GB Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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