Fredonia Mining Stock Price Prediction
| FRED Stock | 0.28 0.02 6.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.592 |
Using Fredonia Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fredonia Mining from the perspective of Fredonia Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fredonia Mining to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fredonia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fredonia Mining after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fredonia |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fredonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fredonia Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fredonia Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fredonia Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fredonia Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fredonia Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fredonia Mining's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fredonia Mining's historical news coverage. Fredonia Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.92, respectively. We have considered Fredonia Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fredonia Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fredonia Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fredonia Mining Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fredonia Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fredonia Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fredonia Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.07 | 8.68 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.28 | 0.24 | 14.29 |
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Fredonia Mining Hype Timeline
Fredonia Mining is currently traded for 0.28on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Fredonia is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -14.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.07%. The volatility of related hype on Fredonia Mining is about 130200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.27. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fredonia Mining recorded a loss per share of 0.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 15th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Fredonia Mining Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fredonia Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fredonia Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fredonia Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Fredonia Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fredonia Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKP | Strikepoint Gold | (0.01) | 3 per month | 9.61 | 0.02 | 21.43 | (20.00) | 97.10 | |
| ESK | Eskay Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.67 | (8.70) | 45.29 | |
| PGE | Stillwater Critical Minerals | (0.01) | 1 per month | 5.40 | 0.05 | 11.11 | (10.53) | 41.07 |
Fredonia Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fredonia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fredonia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fredonia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Fredonia Mining Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fredonia Mining stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fredonia Mining, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fredonia Mining based on analysis of Fredonia Mining hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fredonia Mining's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fredonia Mining's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Fredonia Mining
The number of cover stories for Fredonia Mining depends on current market conditions and Fredonia Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fredonia Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fredonia Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fredonia Mining Short Properties
Fredonia Mining's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fredonia Mining's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fredonia Mining often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fredonia Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fredonia Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177.2 M |
Additional Tools for Fredonia Stock Analysis
When running Fredonia Mining's price analysis, check to measure Fredonia Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fredonia Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Fredonia Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fredonia Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fredonia Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fredonia Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.