Fabrinet Stock Price Prediction
| FN Stock | USD 220.00 3.66 1.64% |
Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.259 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.5483 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.2578 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.5842 | Wall Street Target Price 264 |
Using Fabrinet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fabrinet from the perspective of Fabrinet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fabrinet using Fabrinet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fabrinet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fabrinet's stock price.
Fabrinet Short Interest
An investor who is long Fabrinet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fabrinet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fabrinet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 232.6028 | Short Percent 0.0802 | Short Ratio 2.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 218.7584 |
Fabrinet Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fabrinet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fabrinet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fabrinet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fabrinet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fabrinet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fabrinet.
Fabrinet Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Fabrinet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fabrinet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fabrinet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fabrinet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fabrinet's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fabrinet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fabrinet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fabrinet after-hype prediction price | USD 219.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fabrinet contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fabrinet will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Fabrinet trading at USD 220.0, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fabrinet's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fabrinet options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Fabrinet |
Fabrinet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fabrinet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fabrinet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fabrinet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fabrinet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fabrinet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fabrinet's historical news coverage. Fabrinet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 215.20 and 224.64, respectively. We have considered Fabrinet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fabrinet is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fabrinet is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fabrinet Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fabrinet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fabrinet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fabrinet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 4.72 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
220.00 | 219.92 | 0.04 |
|
Fabrinet Hype Timeline
As of March 16, 2025 Fabrinet is listed for 220.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Fabrinet is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 219.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 61.06%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Fabrinet is about 395.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 219.99. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fabrinet was currently reported as 51.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. Fabrinet recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Fabrinet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fabrinet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fabrinet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fabrinet's future price movements. Getting to know how Fabrinet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fabrinet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (0.29) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.77 | (3.00) | 12.43 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | (5.67) | 8 per month | 2.47 | 0.06 | 3.25 | (3.42) | 15.22 | |
| ROG | Rogers | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.53 | (4.15) | 11.01 | |
| APH | Amphenol | 0.54 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.87 | (4.57) | 19.61 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | (3.69) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 3.14 | (3.21) | 13.03 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (3.52) | 10.57 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | 0.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.91 | (6.72) | 38.95 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 1.07 | 9 per month | 2.51 | 0.06 | 3.53 | (4.10) | 19.95 | |
| CLS | Celestica | (4.88) | 11 per month | 6.92 | 0.04 | 8.86 | (7.29) | 37.21 | |
| FLEX | Flex | 0.52 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.63 | (4.80) | 16.57 |
Fabrinet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fabrinet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fabrinet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fabrinet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fabrinet Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fabrinet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fabrinet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fabrinet based on analysis of Fabrinet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fabrinet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fabrinet's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0277 | 0.0495 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.79 | 0.93 |
Story Coverage note for Fabrinet
The number of cover stories for Fabrinet depends on current market conditions and Fabrinet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fabrinet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fabrinet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Fabrinet Short Properties
Fabrinet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fabrinet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fabrinet often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fabrinet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fabrinet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 858.6 M |
Check out Fabrinet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Fabrinet Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fabrinet guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fabrinet. If investors know Fabrinet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fabrinet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.259 | Earnings Share 8.93 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.17 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Fabrinet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fabrinet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fabrinet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fabrinet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fabrinet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fabrinet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fabrinet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fabrinet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fabrinet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.