Macys (Germany) Price Prediction
| FDO Stock | EUR 15.63 0.31 2.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
0
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Macys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macys Inc from the perspective of Macys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Macys after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Macys |
Macys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Macys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Macys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macys' historical news coverage. Macys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.60 and 17.66, respectively. We have considered Macys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Macys is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macys Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Macys Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.63 | 15.63 | 0.00 |
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Macys Hype Timeline
Macys Inc is currently traded for 15.63on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Macys is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Macys is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.63. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Macys Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Macys Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macys' future price movements. Getting to know how Macys' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Macys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JUS1 | Aeon Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.61 | (1.79) | 10.14 | |
| HY7A | SHOPRITE HDGS ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.02 | 3.92 | (3.12) | 9.46 | |
| HY7 | Shoprite Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 3.27 | (2.55) | 37.84 | |
| DL7A | Dillards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.18 | 5.56 | (2.43) | 13.97 | |
| FDO | Macys Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.10 | 4.46 | (2.71) | 10.42 | |
| 3RKU | RYOHIN UNSPADR1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.19 | 3.31 | (2.40) | 9.54 | |
| S1VA | PEPKOR LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.21 | 4.31 | (2.48) | 13.03 | |
| 4HP | Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.06 | 5.43 | (3.73) | 14.37 | |
| MA6 | Marks and Spencer | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.03 | 2.90 | (2.41) | 8.95 | |
| SRI | Sun Art Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.26 | 8.70 | (4.00) | 28.00 |
Macys Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Macys Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Macys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macys Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Macys based on analysis of Macys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Macys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macys's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Macys
The number of cover stories for Macys depends on current market conditions and Macys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Macys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Macys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Macys Short Properties
Macys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Macys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Macys Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Macys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 299.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Macys Stock analysis
When running Macys' price analysis, check to measure Macys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macys is operating at the current time. Most of Macys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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