1st Colonial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| FCOB Stock | USD 14.70 0.10 0.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Using 1st Colonial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 1st Colonial Bancorp from the perspective of 1st Colonial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 1st Colonial to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 1st because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
1st Colonial after-hype prediction price | USD 14.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
1st |
1st Colonial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 1st Colonial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 1st Colonial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of 1st Colonial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
1st Colonial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 1st Colonial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 1st Colonial's historical news coverage. 1st Colonial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.68 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered 1st Colonial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1st Colonial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 1st Colonial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
1st Colonial Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 1st Colonial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 1st Colonial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 1st Colonial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.70 | 14.70 | 0.00 |
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1st Colonial Hype Timeline
1st Colonial Bancorp is currently traded for 14.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 1st is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on 1st Colonial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.70. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had 105:100 split on the 29th of March 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out 1st Colonial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.1st Colonial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 1st Colonial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 1st Colonial's future price movements. Getting to know how 1st Colonial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 1st Colonial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCFC | CCSB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.82 | (2.55) | 7.12 | |
| BKUT | Bank of Utica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 2.65 | 0.00 | 4.44 | |
| FMFP | First Community Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | (3.76) | 14.87 | |
| BEOB | BEO Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.72 | (1.30) | 5.57 | |
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.29 | |
| DWNX | Delhi Bank Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.53) | 0.49 | (0.49) | 1.47 |
1st Colonial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 1st price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1st using various technical indicators. When you analyze 1st charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About 1st Colonial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of 1st Colonial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 1st Colonial Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 1st Colonial based on analysis of 1st Colonial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 1st Colonial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 1st Colonial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for 1st Colonial
The number of cover stories for 1st Colonial depends on current market conditions and 1st Colonial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 1st Colonial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 1st Colonial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for 1st Pink Sheet analysis
When running 1st Colonial's price analysis, check to measure 1st Colonial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Colonial is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Colonial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Colonial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Colonial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Colonial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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