Exxon Mobil (Brazil) Price Prediction
| EXXO34 Stock | BRL 83.99 0.28 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Exxon Mobil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exxon Mobil from the perspective of Exxon Mobil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exxon Mobil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exxon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exxon Mobil after-hype prediction price | BRL 84.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exxon |
Exxon Mobil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exxon Mobil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exxon Mobil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exxon Mobil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exxon Mobil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exxon Mobil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exxon Mobil's historical news coverage. Exxon Mobil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.88 and 85.66, respectively. We have considered Exxon Mobil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exxon Mobil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exxon Mobil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exxon Mobil Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exxon Mobil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon Mobil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exxon Mobil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
83.99 | 84.27 | 0.00 |
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Exxon Mobil Hype Timeline
Exxon Mobil is currently traded for 83.99on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exxon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exxon Mobil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.99. The book value of the company was currently reported as 11.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.7. Exxon Mobil recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. The firm had 1:2 split on the 20th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Exxon Mobil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exxon Mobil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exxon Mobil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exxon Mobil's future price movements. Getting to know how Exxon Mobil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exxon Mobil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXXO34 | Exxon Mobil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.02 | 2.49 | (2.06) | 7.92 | |
| OSXB3 | OSX Brasil SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.99 | (4.86) | 17.34 | |
| ENGI11 | Energisa SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.44 | (2.57) | 5.72 | |
| BTLG11 | BTG Pactual Logstica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.20 | (2.15) | 8.00 | |
| PLPL3 | Plano Plano Desenvolvimento | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.33 | (4.04) | 13.45 | |
| HBTS5 | Companhia Habitasul de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.83 | (6.25) | 20.48 | |
| BVAR11 | FDO INV IMOB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.28 | 0.00 | 10.26 | |
| PGCO34 | The Procter Gamble | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | (0.02) | 2.37 | (1.90) | 7.60 | |
| E1RI34 | Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.12 | 3.62 | (2.09) | 16.05 | |
| C1AB34 | Cable One | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.09 | 4.00 | (4.48) | 13.73 |
Exxon Mobil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exxon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exxon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exxon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exxon Mobil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exxon Mobil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exxon Mobil, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exxon Mobil based on analysis of Exxon Mobil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exxon Mobil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exxon Mobil's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Exxon Mobil
The number of cover stories for Exxon Mobil depends on current market conditions and Exxon Mobil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exxon Mobil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exxon Mobil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Exxon Mobil Short Properties
Exxon Mobil's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exxon Mobil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exxon Mobil often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exxon Mobil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exxon Mobil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Exxon Stock analysis
When running Exxon Mobil's price analysis, check to measure Exxon Mobil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exxon Mobil is operating at the current time. Most of Exxon Mobil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exxon Mobil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exxon Mobil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exxon Mobil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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