Exponent Stock Price Prediction
| EXPO Stock | USD 98.71 0.10 0.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.41 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1722 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2204 | Wall Street Target Price 116 |
Using Exponent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exponent from the perspective of Exponent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exponent using Exponent's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exponent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exponent's stock price.
Exponent Short Interest
An investor who is long Exponent may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Exponent and may potentially protect profits, hedge Exponent with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 96.2471 | Short Percent 0.0384 | Short Ratio 6.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 105.5224 |
Exponent Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Exponent's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exponent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exponent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exponent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Exponent's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Exponent.
Exponent Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Exponent's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exponent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exponent's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exponent stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exponent's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exponent to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exponent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exponent after-hype prediction price | USD 98.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exponent |
Exponent After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exponent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exponent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exponent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exponent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exponent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exponent's historical news coverage. Exponent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 96.62 and 100.52, respectively. We have considered Exponent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exponent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exponent is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exponent Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exponent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exponent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exponent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.95 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
98.71 | 98.57 | 0.14 |
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Exponent Hype Timeline
Exponent is currently traded for 98.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Exponent is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 98.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 126.62%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Exponent is about 90.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 98.52. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2024. Exponent had 2:1 split on the 8th of June 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exponent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exponent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exponent's future price movements. Getting to know how Exponent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exponent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRAI | CRA International | (3.69) | 12 per month | 2.04 | 0.08 | 2.86 | (3.40) | 12.45 | |
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | 1.23 | 7 per month | 1.01 | 0.05 | 2.72 | (1.60) | 14.16 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | 1.67 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.45 | (3.04) | 22.53 | |
| ICFI | ICF International | (12.06) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.60 | (2.09) | 16.28 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | 2.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.82 | (2.06) | 14.08 |
Exponent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exponent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exponent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exponent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exponent Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exponent stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exponent, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exponent based on analysis of Exponent hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exponent's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exponent's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008433 | 0.007034 | 0.012 | 0.0111 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.79 | 13.17 | 8.39 | 13.83 |
Story Coverage note for Exponent
The number of cover stories for Exponent depends on current market conditions and Exponent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exponent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exponent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Exponent Short Properties
Exponent's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exponent's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exponent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exponent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exponent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 187.2 M |
Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Exponent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exponent guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exponent. If investors know Exponent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exponent listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.043 | Dividend Share 1.1 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share 9.957 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 |
The market value of Exponent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exponent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exponent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exponent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exponent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exponent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exponent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exponent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exponent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.