EROAD (Australia) Price Prediction
| ERD Stock | 0.87 0.04 4.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Wall Street Target Price 1.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.04 |
Using EROAD hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EROAD from the perspective of EROAD response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EROAD to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EROAD because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EROAD after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EROAD |
EROAD After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EROAD at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EROAD or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EROAD, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EROAD Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EROAD's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EROAD's historical news coverage. EROAD's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.21, respectively. We have considered EROAD's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EROAD is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EROAD is based on 3 months time horizon.
EROAD Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EROAD is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EROAD backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EROAD, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 3.34 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.87 | 0.87 | 0.00 |
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EROAD Hype Timeline
EROAD is currently traded for 0.87on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. EROAD is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on EROAD is about 26299.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.86. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EROAD had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out EROAD Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EROAD Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EROAD's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EROAD's future price movements. Getting to know how EROAD's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EROAD may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBA | Commonwealth Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.02 | 1.79 | (2.30) | 5.70 | |
| CBAPJ | Commonwealth Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | (0.27) | 0.56 | (0.74) | 2.02 | |
| CIA | Champion Iron | (0.11) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.08 | (4.24) | 21.48 | |
| IXJ | iShares Global Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.99 | (1.27) | 3.57 | |
| PEX | Peel Mining | (0.01) | 1 per month | 4.02 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 25.38 | |
| AHF | Australian Dairy Farms | 0.00 | 1 per month | 3.57 | 0.17 | 10.53 | (5.56) | 22.02 | |
| PCI | Perpetual Credit Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | (0.06) | 0.91 | (0.89) | 6.84 | |
| GRE | Greentech Metals | 0 | 1 per month | 5.35 | (0.01) | 11.11 | (9.09) | 39.02 | |
| TLM | Talisman Mining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.33 | (4.55) | 18.18 | |
| TI1 | Tombador Iron | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
EROAD Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EROAD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EROAD using various technical indicators. When you analyze EROAD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EROAD Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EROAD stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EROAD, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EROAD based on analysis of EROAD hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EROAD's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EROAD's related companies.
Story Coverage note for EROAD
The number of cover stories for EROAD depends on current market conditions and EROAD's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EROAD is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EROAD's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EROAD Short Properties
EROAD's future price predictability will typically decrease when EROAD's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EROAD often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EROAD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EROAD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.5 M |
Additional Tools for EROAD Stock Analysis
When running EROAD's price analysis, check to measure EROAD's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EROAD is operating at the current time. Most of EROAD's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EROAD's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EROAD's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EROAD to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.