Delcath Systems Stock Price Prediction
| DCTH Stock | USD 14.66 0.41 2.88% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.21) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.12) | Wall Street Target Price 21.8333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.20) |
Using Delcath Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delcath Systems from the perspective of Delcath Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Delcath Systems using Delcath Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Delcath using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Delcath Systems' stock price.
Delcath Systems Implied Volatility | 1.87 |
Delcath Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Delcath Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Delcath Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Delcath Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Delcath Systems' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Delcath Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Delcath because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Delcath Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 14.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Delcath contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Delcath Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.12% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Delcath Systems trading at USD 14.66, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Delcath Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Delcath Systems options at the current volatility level of 1.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Delcath |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delcath Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delcath Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delcath Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delcath Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delcath Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Delcath Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delcath Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delcath Systems' historical news coverage. Delcath Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.79 and 18.09, respectively. We have considered Delcath Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delcath Systems is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delcath Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delcath Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delcath Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delcath Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delcath Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 3.64 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.66 | 14.44 | 1.33 |
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Delcath Systems Hype Timeline
Delcath Systems is currently traded for 14.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Delcath is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Delcath Systems is about 921.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.83. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18.41 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Delcath Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Delcath Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delcath Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delcath Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Delcath Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delcath Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Delcath Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delcath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delcath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delcath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Delcath Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Delcath Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Delcath Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Delcath Systems based on analysis of Delcath Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Delcath Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Delcath Systems's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 1.97 | 1.87 | Price To Sales Ratio | 29.43 | 30.9 |
Story Coverage note for Delcath Systems
The number of cover stories for Delcath Systems depends on current market conditions and Delcath Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delcath Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delcath Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Delcath Systems Short Properties
Delcath Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Delcath Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delcath Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delcath Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delcath Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Delcath Stock analysis
When running Delcath Systems' price analysis, check to measure Delcath Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delcath Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Delcath Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delcath Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delcath Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delcath Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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