Ceylon Tobacco (Sri Lanka) Price Prediction
| CTCN0000 | LKR 1,320 12.50 0.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ceylon Tobacco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ceylon Tobacco from the perspective of Ceylon Tobacco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ceylon Tobacco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ceylon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ceylon Tobacco after-hype prediction price | LKR 1320.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ceylon |
Ceylon Tobacco Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Ceylon Tobacco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ceylon Tobacco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ceylon Tobacco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ceylon Tobacco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ceylon Tobacco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ceylon Tobacco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ceylon Tobacco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,320 | 1,320 | 0.00 |
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Ceylon Tobacco Hype Timeline
Ceylon Tobacco is currently traded for 1,320on Colombo Stock Exchange of Sri Lanka. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ceylon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ceylon Tobacco is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,320. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Ceylon Tobacco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ceylon Tobacco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ceylon Tobacco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ceylon Tobacco's future price movements. Getting to know how Ceylon Tobacco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ceylon Tobacco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KFPN0000 | Keells Food Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.07 | 3.09 | (1.98) | 10.51 | |
| KHLN0000 | John Keells Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.14 | 3.23 | (2.30) | 8.66 | |
| BBHN0000 | Browns Beach Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.16 | 7.91 | (3.65) | 15.51 | |
| PALMN0000 | Palm Garden Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.24 | 6.85 | (2.53) | 11.85 | |
| RENUN0000 | Renuka City Hotel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.06 | 5.05 | (2.80) | 11.79 | |
| COCOX0000 | RENUKA FOODS PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | (0.04) | 3.00 | (2.75) | 11.32 |
Ceylon Tobacco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ceylon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ceylon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ceylon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ceylon Tobacco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ceylon Tobacco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ceylon Tobacco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ceylon Tobacco based on analysis of Ceylon Tobacco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ceylon Tobacco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ceylon Tobacco's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ceylon Tobacco
The number of cover stories for Ceylon Tobacco depends on current market conditions and Ceylon Tobacco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ceylon Tobacco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ceylon Tobacco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Ceylon Stock analysis
When running Ceylon Tobacco's price analysis, check to measure Ceylon Tobacco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ceylon Tobacco is operating at the current time. Most of Ceylon Tobacco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ceylon Tobacco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ceylon Tobacco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ceylon Tobacco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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