Cintas Stock Price Prediction
| CTAS Stock | USD 224.05 2.42 1.07% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.183 | EPS Estimate Current Year 14.95 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.43 | Wall Street Target Price 206.1238 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.95 |
Using Cintas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cintas from the perspective of Cintas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cintas using Cintas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cintas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cintas' stock price.
Cintas Short Interest
An investor who is long Cintas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cintas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cintas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 184.055 | Short Percent 0.0205 | Short Ratio 5.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 6 M | 50 Day MA 211.0136 |
Cintas Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cintas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cintas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cintas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cintas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cintas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cintas.
Cintas Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Cintas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cintas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cintas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cintas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cintas' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cintas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cintas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cintas after-hype prediction price | USD 224.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cintas contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cintas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Cintas trading at USD 224.05, that is roughly USD 0.13 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cintas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cintas options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cintas |
Cintas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cintas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cintas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cintas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cintas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cintas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cintas' historical news coverage. Cintas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 223.37 and 225.73, respectively. We have considered Cintas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cintas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cintas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cintas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cintas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cintas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cintas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.19 | 0.48 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
224.05 | 224.55 | 0.22 |
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Cintas Hype Timeline
Cintas is currently traded for 224.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Cintas is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 224.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 45.08%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Cintas is about 643.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 224.08. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.6 B. Net Income was 1.57 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.63 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Cintas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cintas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cintas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cintas' future price movements. Getting to know how Cintas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cintas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.92 | 0.04 | 1.99 | (1.97) | 17.72 | |
| RELX | Relx PLC ADR | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.04 | (0.09) | 1.81 | (1.69) | 5.13 | |
| AAVXF | ABIVAX Socit Anonyme | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IPSHX | Pinnacle Sherman Multi Strategy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.02 | 1.13 | (0.98) | 3.97 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| ID | SPACE | 0.02 | 1 per month | 4.01 | 0.11 | 7.69 | (6.67) | 20.54 | |
| SCAXF | Sparta Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.47 | |
| KNF | Knife River | 2.62 | 7 per month | 1.90 | 0.14 | 2.77 | (2.46) | 12.78 | |
| CIRAX | Capital Income Builder | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.29) | 0.66 | (0.82) | 1.81 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.48) | 11 per month | 0.57 | 0.16 | 1.57 | (1.56) | 7.23 |
Cintas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cintas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cintas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cintas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cintas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cintas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cintas, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cintas based on analysis of Cintas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cintas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cintas's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009128 | 0.009375 | 0.007704 | 0.007287 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.23 | 5.44 | 7.18 | 7.54 |
Story Coverage note for Cintas
The number of cover stories for Cintas depends on current market conditions and Cintas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cintas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cintas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cintas Short Properties
Cintas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cintas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cintas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cintas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cintas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 413.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 342 M |
Additional Tools for Cintas Stock Analysis
When running Cintas' price analysis, check to measure Cintas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cintas is operating at the current time. Most of Cintas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cintas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cintas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cintas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.