Columbia Sportswear Stock Price Prediction
| COLM Stock | USD 91.79 0.29 0.31% |
Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.695 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.0445 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5347 | Wall Street Target Price 82.25 |
Using Columbia Sportswear hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Columbia Sportswear from the perspective of Columbia Sportswear response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Columbia Sportswear using Columbia Sportswear's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Columbia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Columbia Sportswear's stock price.
Columbia Sportswear Short Interest
An investor who is long Columbia Sportswear may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Columbia Sportswear and may potentially protect profits, hedge Columbia Sportswear with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 82.7086 | Short Percent 0.1083 | Short Ratio 8.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 85.8344 |
Columbia Sportswear Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Columbia Sportswear's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Columbia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Columbia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Columbia Sportswear. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Columbia Sportswear's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Columbia Sportswear.
Columbia Sportswear Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Columbia Sportswear's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Columbia Sportswear stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Columbia Sportswear's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Columbia Sportswear stock will not fluctuate a lot when Columbia Sportswear's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Columbia Sportswear to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Columbia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Columbia Sportswear after-hype prediction price | USD 91.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Columbia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Columbia Sportswear will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Columbia Sportswear trading at USD 91.79, that is roughly USD 0.0241 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Columbia Sportswear's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Columbia Sportswear options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Columbia |
Columbia Sportswear After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Columbia Sportswear at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Columbia Sportswear or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Columbia Sportswear, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Columbia Sportswear Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Columbia Sportswear's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Columbia Sportswear's historical news coverage. Columbia Sportswear's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.70 and 93.24, respectively. We have considered Columbia Sportswear's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Columbia Sportswear is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Columbia Sportswear is based on 3 months time horizon.
Columbia Sportswear Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Columbia Sportswear is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Columbia Sportswear backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Columbia Sportswear, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.76 | 0.23 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
91.79 | 91.47 | 0.28 |
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Columbia Sportswear Hype Timeline
Columbia Sportswear is currently traded for 91.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Columbia is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 91.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 75.54%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Sportswear is about 320.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.85. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Columbia Sportswear was currently reported as 31.42. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.66. Columbia Sportswear last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 29th of September 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Columbia Sportswear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Columbia Sportswear Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Columbia Sportswear's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Columbia Sportswear's future price movements. Getting to know how Columbia Sportswear's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Columbia Sportswear may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNCE | Vince Holding Corp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 7.07 | 0.10 | 13.67 | (13.24) | 93.72 | |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | 0.52 | 6 per month | 1.99 | 0.10 | 5.43 | (3.65) | 11.60 | |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear | 0.27 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.15 | 2.54 | (1.53) | 5.36 | |
| GIII | G III Apparel Group | (1.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.59 | (3.21) | 15.86 | |
| OXM | Oxford Industries | 0.71 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.93 | (3.13) | 16.04 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | (0.90) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.75 | (2.65) | 10.16 | |
| RL | Ralph Lauren Corp | 5.41 | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.21 | 3.70 | (2.95) | 11.23 | |
| LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | (0.02) | 12 per month | 1.31 | 0.12 | 4.18 | (2.32) | 8.10 |
Columbia Sportswear Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Columbia Sportswear Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Columbia Sportswear stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Columbia Sportswear, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Columbia Sportswear based on analysis of Columbia Sportswear hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Columbia Sportswear's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Columbia Sportswear's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0137 | 0.0151 | 0.0142 | 0.0135 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.59 | 1.4 | 1.45 | 1.28 |
Story Coverage note for Columbia Sportswear
The number of cover stories for Columbia Sportswear depends on current market conditions and Columbia Sportswear's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Columbia Sportswear is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Columbia Sportswear's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Columbia Sportswear Short Properties
Columbia Sportswear's future price predictability will typically decrease when Columbia Sportswear's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Columbia Sportswear often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Columbia Sportswear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Columbia Sportswear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.5 M |
Check out Columbia Sportswear Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Columbia Stock, please use our How to Invest in Columbia Sportswear guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Columbia Sportswear. If investors know Columbia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Columbia Sportswear listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 3.82 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
The market value of Columbia Sportswear is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Columbia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Columbia Sportswear's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Columbia Sportswear's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Columbia Sportswear's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Columbia Sportswear's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Sportswear's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Sportswear is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Sportswear's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.