Americold Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction
| COLD Stock | USD 22.33 0.01 0.04% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.075 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.52 | Wall Street Target Price 27.6667 |
Using Americold Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americold Realty Trust from the perspective of Americold Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Americold Realty using Americold Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Americold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Americold Realty's stock price.
Americold Realty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Americold Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Americold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Americold Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.3674 | Short Percent 0.045 | Short Ratio 5.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.9 M | 50 Day MA 21.6718 |
Americold Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Americold Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Americold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Americold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Americold Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Americold Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Americold Realty.
Americold Realty Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Americold Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Americold Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Americold Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Americold Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Americold Realty's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americold Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Americold Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 22.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Americold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Americold Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Americold Realty trading at USD 22.33, that is roughly USD 0.0103 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Americold Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Americold Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Americold |
Americold Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americold Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americold Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americold Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Americold Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americold Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americold Realty's historical news coverage. Americold Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.58 and 24.06, respectively. We have considered Americold Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americold Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americold Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americold Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americold Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americold Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americold Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.74 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.33 | 22.32 | 0.04 |
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Americold Realty Hype Timeline
Americold Realty Trust is currently traded for 22.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Americold is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Americold Realty is about 459.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.36. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americold Realty Trust has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 263.36. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.33. The firm last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Americold Realty had 1:1 split on the 26th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Americold Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Americold Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americold Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americold Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Americold Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americold Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | 1.56 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.50 | (2.51) | 8.75 | |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty | 0.42 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 2.16 | (1.73) | 11.10 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | (0.21) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.09 | 2.36 | (1.34) | 6.33 | |
| PLYM | Plymouth Industrial REIT | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.36 | (2.67) | 9.97 | |
| INDT | Indus Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LXP | LXP Industrial Trust | (0.1) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.26 | (2.70) | 6.87 | |
| EGP | EastGroup Properties | 1.24 | 6 per month | 1.15 | 0.06 | 1.87 | (1.78) | 7.44 |
Americold Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Americold Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Americold Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americold Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americold Realty based on analysis of Americold Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americold Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americold Realty's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 2.02 | 2.66 | 4.19 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.62 | 2.29 | 1.68 |
Story Coverage note for Americold Realty
The number of cover stories for Americold Realty depends on current market conditions and Americold Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americold Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americold Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Americold Realty Short Properties
Americold Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americold Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americold Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americold Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americold Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 284.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Americold Stock analysis
When running Americold Realty's price analysis, check to measure Americold Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americold Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Americold Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americold Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americold Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americold Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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