COG Financial (Australia) Price Prediction
| COG Stock | 0.94 0.04 4.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.087 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.13 | Wall Street Target Price 1.3657 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.287 |
Using COG Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of COG Financial Services from the perspective of COG Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in COG Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying COG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
COG Financial after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
COG |
COG Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of COG Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in COG Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of COG Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
COG Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting COG Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on COG Financial's historical news coverage. COG Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 3.21, respectively. We have considered COG Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
COG Financial is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of COG Financial Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
COG Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as COG Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading COG Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with COG Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.94 | 0.94 | 0.00 |
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COG Financial Hype Timeline
COG Financial Services is currently traded for 0.94on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. COG is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on COG Financial is about 21272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. COG Financial Services last dividend was issued on the 2nd of September 2024. The entity had 1:10 split on the 5th of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out COG Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.COG Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to COG Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict COG Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how COG Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how COG Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AKP | Audio Pixels Holdings | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IOD | Iodm | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 6.25 | (5.88) | 22.88 | |
| NSX | Nsx | (0.001) | 2 per month | 5.28 | 0.08 | 17.39 | (10.34) | 44.76 | |
| FTC | TTG Fintech | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.67 | |
| LHM | Land Homes Group | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REG | Regis Healthcare | 0.11 | 3 per month | 2.16 | 0.07 | 2.63 | (3.44) | 9.34 | |
| HOR | Horseshoe Metals | (0) | 1 per month | 5.65 | 0.15 | 18.18 | (14.29) | 41.67 | |
| RCE | Recce | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.44 | (5.88) | 16.20 |
COG Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine COG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for COG using various technical indicators. When you analyze COG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About COG Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of COG Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as COG Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of COG Financial based on analysis of COG Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to COG Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to COG Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for COG Financial
The number of cover stories for COG Financial depends on current market conditions and COG Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that COG Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about COG Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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COG Financial Short Properties
COG Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when COG Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of COG Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential COG Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. COG Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 125.7 M |
Additional Tools for COG Stock Analysis
When running COG Financial's price analysis, check to measure COG Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COG Financial is operating at the current time. Most of COG Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COG Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COG Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COG Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.