Citra Marga (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| CMNP Stock | IDR 1,415 20.00 1.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Citra Marga hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citra Marga Nusaphala from the perspective of Citra Marga response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citra Marga to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citra Marga after-hype prediction price | IDR 1415.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Citra |
Citra Marga After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citra Marga at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citra Marga or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citra Marga, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citra Marga Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citra Marga's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citra Marga's historical news coverage. Citra Marga's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,414 and 1,416, respectively. We have considered Citra Marga's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citra Marga is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citra Marga Nusaphala is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citra Marga Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citra Marga is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citra Marga backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citra Marga, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,415 | 1,415 | 0.00 |
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Citra Marga Hype Timeline
Citra Marga Nusaphala is currently traded for 1,415on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Citra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citra Marga is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,415. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citra Marga Nusaphala recorded earning per share (EPS) of 178.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of July 2014. The firm had 11:9 split on the 11th of January 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Citra Marga Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citra Marga Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citra Marga's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citra Marga's future price movements. Getting to know how Citra Marga's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citra Marga may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INCI | Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | (0.09) | 1.75 | (1.72) | 8.49 | |
| IGAR | Champion Pacific Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.08) | 1.63 | (1.60) | 4.78 | |
| MPMX | Mitra Pinasthika Mustika | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.51 | (0.98) | 2.48 | |
| JIHD | Jakarta Int Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.42 | 24.79 | (5.03) | 34.81 | |
| AHAP | Asuransi Harta Aman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.39 | (3.42) | 25.64 | |
| TECH | Indosterling Technomedia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ISAT | Indosat Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.12 | (5.74) | 79.95 | |
| BBNI | Bank Negara Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.73 | (2.68) | 8.76 | |
| KKES | PT Kusuma Kemindo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 3.23 | (4.17) | 12.35 | |
| CASA | Capital Financial Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | (0.03) | 3.60 | (2.86) | 21.12 |
Citra Marga Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citra Marga Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citra Marga stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citra Marga Nusaphala, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citra Marga based on analysis of Citra Marga hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citra Marga's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citra Marga's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Citra Marga
The number of cover stories for Citra Marga depends on current market conditions and Citra Marga's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citra Marga is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citra Marga's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citra Marga Short Properties
Citra Marga's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citra Marga's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citra Marga Nusaphala often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citra Marga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citra Marga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 T |
Other Information on Investing in Citra Stock
Citra Marga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citra with respect to the benefits of owning Citra Marga security.