Chipotle Mexican (Mexico) Price Prediction
| CMG Stock | MXN 1,300 26.99 2.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chipotle Mexican hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill from the perspective of Chipotle Mexican response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chipotle Mexican to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chipotle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chipotle Mexican after-hype prediction price | MXN 1300.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chipotle |
Chipotle Mexican After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chipotle Mexican at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chipotle Mexican or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chipotle Mexican, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chipotle Mexican Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chipotle Mexican's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chipotle Mexican's historical news coverage. Chipotle Mexican's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,298 and 1,302, respectively. We have considered Chipotle Mexican's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chipotle Mexican is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chipotle Mexican Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chipotle Mexican is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chipotle Mexican backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chipotle Mexican, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,300 | 1,300 | 0.00 |
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Chipotle Mexican Hype Timeline
Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently traded for 1,300on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chipotle is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chipotle Mexican is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,300. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Chipotle Mexican Grill recorded earning per share (EPS) of 605.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 26th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Chipotle Mexican Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chipotle Mexican Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chipotle Mexican's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. Getting to know how Chipotle Mexican's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chipotle Mexican may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALSEA | Alsea SAB de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.62 | (2.72) | 9.40 | |
| CMRB | CMR SAB de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.31 | 0.05 | 9.92 | (8.72) | 22.60 |
Chipotle Mexican Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chipotle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chipotle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chipotle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Chipotle Mexican Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chipotle Mexican stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chipotle Mexican Grill, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican based on analysis of Chipotle Mexican hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chipotle Mexican's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chipotle Mexican's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chipotle Mexican
The number of cover stories for Chipotle Mexican depends on current market conditions and Chipotle Mexican's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chipotle Mexican is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chipotle Mexican's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chipotle Mexican Short Properties
Chipotle Mexican's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chipotle Mexican's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chipotle Mexican Grill often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chipotle Mexican's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chipotle Mexican's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.6 M |
Additional Tools for Chipotle Stock Analysis
When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.