Chipotle Mexican Valuation

CMG Stock  MXN 1,300  26.99  2.03%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Chipotle Mexican Grill shows a prevailing Real Value of 1305.1 per share. The current price of the firm is 1300.0. Our model approximates the value of Chipotle Mexican Grill from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 888.43 B, profit margin of 0.10 %, and Return On Equity of 0.39 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
1,300
Please note that Chipotle Mexican's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Chipotle Mexican's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Chipotle Mexican is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Chipotle Stock. However, Chipotle Mexican's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1300.0 Real  1305.1 Hype  1300.0 Naive  1292.13
The intrinsic value of Chipotle Mexican's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Chipotle Mexican's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1,305
Real Value
1,307
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Chipotle Mexican Grill helps investors to forecast how Chipotle stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Chipotle Mexican more accurately as focusing exclusively on Chipotle Mexican's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2411,2971,353
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2981,3001,302
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,2901,2921,294
Details

Chipotle Mexican Total Value Analysis

Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 888.43 B with market capitalization of 892.11 B, debt of 2.7 B, and cash on hands of 717.78 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Chipotle Mexican fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
888.43 B
892.11 B
2.7 B
717.78 M

Chipotle Mexican Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. Chipotle Mexican Grill recorded earning per share (EPS) of 605.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 26th of June 2024. Based on the analysis of Chipotle Mexican's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Chipotle Mexican Grill is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Chipotle Mexican Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Chipotle Mexican has an asset utilization ratio of 124.64 percent. This suggests that the Company is making 1.25 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Chipotle Mexican Grill is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Chipotle Mexican Ownership Allocation

Chipotle Mexican holds a total of 27.62 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Chipotle Mexican Grill outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Chipotle Mexican Grill to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Chipotle Mexican. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Chipotle Mexican Grill as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Chipotle Mexican Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 8.63 B. Net Income was 899.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.37 B.

About Chipotle Mexican Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Chipotle Mexican. We calculate exposure to Chipotle Mexican's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Chipotle Mexican's related companies.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN operates under Restaurants classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 73000 people.

8 Steps to conduct Chipotle Mexican's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Chipotle Mexican's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Chipotle Mexican's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Chipotle Mexican's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Chipotle Mexican's revenue streams: Identify Chipotle Mexican's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Chipotle Mexican's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Chipotle Mexican's growth potential: Evaluate Chipotle Mexican's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Chipotle Mexican's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Chipotle Mexican's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Chipotle Stock Analysis

When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.